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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. There are only three pitchers on the MLB Top 50 for 2025 at #38, 39 and 45. Looking at their 2024 Top 50 there were just two at #25 and 35. 2023 had Luis Morales at #5 but he was a 22 year old Cuban, then 20yo Jun-Seok Shim who skipped the KBO draft at #10, Janero Miller was #16 as a two way player, then there were four pitchers at #36, 41, 42 and 49. 2022 had two pitchers at #31 and 37. Top ranked international pitching prospects just aren’t really a thing.
  2. Think it was a little bit of that mixed with no real pressing need after the rotation solidified at the deadline with the addition of Montas. Brewers also like to slow roll their SP prospects a little bit of late with Gasser spending all of last year at AAA and Myers spending most all of 2023 at AA despite both of them leading their respective leagues in strikeouts.
  3. Not sure. Believe either BA or BPro does minor league park factors, but I’m not a subscribe to either.
  4. Ryan McMahon has 3yrs/$44M left on his deal and definitely would fit the run prevention formula with his +48 DRS and +27 FRV both ranking 2nd among all 3B since 2021. Bat is consistently blah though with a 92 wRC+ this year, and a 90 wRC+ for his career, and a seasonal best of 97 wRC+. Rockies are always tricky to line up with, but we just dealt with them at the deadline so who knows. A guy that’s kind of the opposite is Brandon Lowe who TBR could be looking to deal with two team options totaling $22M on tap. Lowe has a 123 wRC+ this year, and a 126 wRC+ for his career and a seasonal worst of 103 wRC+. Problems have been staying healthy, mediocre production vs LHP (97 wRC+ since 2021), and being kind of a 2B/1B/DH defensive nomad.
  5. Maybe Murph’s nickname should be The Sherpa.
  6. Cots says the Reds have $50M in guarantees on the books for next year with no big ticket Arby’s guys lined up. FanGraphs has their DH production bottom two in MLB, their 1B bottom four, and their OF bottom five. If they were serious about surrounding EDLC & their young core with talent they could go out and sign two of Santander, Alonso, Teoscar or Walker and get payroll back to 2019/21 levels after two years of reduced spending running bottom five and three payrolls in 2023/24. Same logic applies to the Pirates with Skenes. You wanna announce to your fans and the baseball world that you’re trying to win the NLC? Sign Adames plus one of those guys above.
  7. Dysfunction junction what’s your function? Amazing how much flak Attanasio catches from some Brewers fans when the NLC has two legit bottom half dozen or so owners in the entire sport (Castellini & Nutting) showing them how bad things could easily be round these parts.
  8. Mitchell was at 1.7 WAR on FanGraphs over 207 PAs entering today, that is a 5 WAR per 600 PAs pace. Of the 169 players with at least 1.5 WAR so far this year his 207 PAs are the fewest with Jose Trevino (227 PAs) next lowest and only 14 of those 169 players coming in under 300 PAs. He’s already a small sample star, at this point it’s just a matter of keeping it up and staying healthy.
  9. Scoring nine runs after being down eight zip is more than a little life.
  10. You are double counting the signing bonus. It is already included with the eight million figure.
  11. Nixon’s deal was $18M for three years with only $6.5M guaranteed.
  12. TENTH three game losing streak of the season, that means 44.77% of the team’s losses have come while streaking… start 10-3 (0-3) 7-2 (0-3) 3-0 (0-3) 16-9 (0-3) 8-4 (0-3) 8-2 (0-3) 2-1 (0-3) 13-7 (0-3) 14-5 (0-3) 7-4 (0-3) ??? RESILIENCE has been the big word this year with zero four game losing streaks and only one series sweep despite all those three gamers. Bouncing back again today and starting to build some momentum towards October would be ideal.
  13. The Brewers 3.49 ERA over the last four months of the season is first in the NL. The Mets (3.93, 7th in NL) and especially the Diamondbacks (4.69 ERA, 13th in the NL) have been considerably worse. I'm seeing SDP at 64 W - 42 L with the best winning percentage in the NL over the last four months, though ARI (64 W - 43 L), NYM (64 W - 44 L) are right behind them before MIL (61 W - 47 L) shows up. The two best teams - LAD (60 W - 45 L) and PHI (58 W - 48 L) - have been the worst teams among the likely NL playoff clubs over the last four months. It's about as wide open as its ever been.
  14. Pratt only got 95 PAs at Wisco and didn't exactly set the MWL ablaze with a 221/258/442 (94 wRC+) triple slash paired with a 4.2 BB% and 25.3 K%. Not sure I would personally be in any rush to open him at Biloxi straight away. Let him have some success in A+ before sending him to the wolves in AA.
  15. People said the same thing about this year but replace Williams and Adames with Burnes and Woodruff. There is also no guarantee they trade Devin on a reasonable one year deal, they could choose to take the production and comp pick like they are lined up to do with Adames this year. Even if Williams is dealt, the bullpen managed an 80 ERA- (4th) and +8.87 WPA (2nd) in the 104 games before his first appearance of the season.
  16. Cooper Pratt just hit a two run bomb to get Biloxi on the board top of eight.
  17. Mitch White’s late season run continues as he gave up Jordan Westburg double and Ramon Urias RBI single to open the game but nothing thereafter for a nice 7 IP | 1 ER | 5 H | 1 BB | 8 K line. Nashville picked up three runs in the fourth with a Wes Clarke walk followed by a quartet of singles from Francisco Mejia, Owen Miller, Noah Campbell & Freddy Zamora, then a sac fly from Carlos Rodriguez the outfielder. Sounds then scored two more in the seventh after Brewer Hicklen walked and Wes Clarke went 405 feet deep.
  18. Out of 243 pitchers in the International League with at least 40 IP, Herget came in at… 2.46 FIP (2nd) | 2.27 ERA (8th) | 3.23 xFIP (3rd) | 5.36 K to BB ratio (4th) | 32.4 K% (15th) | 6.0 BB% (13th) | 0.38 HR9 (6th) | 0.94 WHIP (2nd) Have to imagine in an organization with a less stacked bullpen he would’ve gotten more of an MLB look than the 8.2 low leverage IP over two brief call ups in May/June he’s gotten so far with the Brewers this year. Believe he is mostly four seam / cutter with the change up as the out pitch.
  19. Yup. Expand to 32 equals two leagues with four divisions of four teams each. Four division winners get in and they'll probably bump it to three Wild Cards so only the #1 seed gets the bye. Essentially the NFL postseason format.
  20. Not sure of an easy way to track that info down without going through individual game logs. Kind of a crude measure, but through June 30 the Brewers had 405 runs scored and 86 home runs, 4.71 R/HR. Since July 1st it’s 331 runs scored and 85 home runs, 3.89 R/HR. Based on that it would appear your impression is correct & they have become more HR reliant recently compared to earlier in the year. For some context here are the full season ratios of the NL contenders… MIL (4.30 R/HR) 736 R / 171 HR ARI (4.24 R/HR) 840 R / 198 HR SDP (4.03 R/HR) 726 R / 180 HR PHI (3.99 R/HR) 739 R / 185 HR NYM (3.74 R/HR) 740 R / 198 HR LAD (3.63 R/HR) 788 R / 217 HR ATL (3.36 R/HR) 668 R / 199 HR With that context the Brewers performance since July 1st (3.89 R/HR) would be closer to the middle of the pack.
  21. I have no control over the results of Brewers games, so I will accept and be ok with whatever happens. What recourse exists for someone who would not be ok with it?
  22. Adams has run low BABIPs (.292 and .280) at both his A ball stops the last two years. Pretty sure he has a very uppercut swing that results in a lot of easy flyball outs, so it might be something sticky in his profile. Luke's 18.7 BB% was a big part of his OBP, but he also got beaned 40 times in the regular season so that element is likely to come down pretty drastically as he moves up the ladder.
  23. Not a Twins fan personally, but if I were I probably wouldn't have had much faith in my team whose record is pretty much entirely propped up by a 12 W - 1 L record against the worst team ever.
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