sveumrules

White Sox are going to put up one of the worst seasons of all time, but won’t draft higher than 10th next year with the new MLB Draft Lottery set up.

Junis was hurt most of the year and behind all of Williams, Megill, Hudson, Koenig, Peguero, Payamps. Milner & Wilson on the depth chart and that was before they acquired Mears. Even guys like Paredes, Rob Z, Bukauskas and Herget who could be back with the team at some point put up more impressive lines and flashed better stuff than Junis in their brief looks. DL Hall will probably be back in the pen at some point, Misio and Yoho are long shot possibilities for September. The team is pretty flush with relievers (+8.81 WPA, 2nd) rotation options are a little slimmer pickings (7.1 rWAR, 16th). Wiemer has a 70 wRC+ with a 28.5 K% over 437 PAs in MLB. He is essentially the Aaron Ashby of outfielders at this point, has most of the tools needed to be a successful player but is a long shot to put it all together because his swing is so messed up. Yelich, Chourio, Frelick, Perkins and Mitchell are ahead of him in MLB with Brewer Hicklen and Isaac Collins outperforming him considerably at AAA to boot. OF could still end up being Tyler Black’s best position too. If they could have traded him to a non-divisional rival, for a better SP, they probably would have. That no one made a better offer kind of speaks to his value around the league. Brewers brass apparently believes his flaws are so fatal that trading him to a division rival won’t come back to haunt them for years to come. Will they be right? Stay tuned, I guess. However it all turns out, I’m glad they moved Wiemer for Montas instead of dealing something like Black+ for Fedde or Pratt+ for Flaherty or Gasser+ for Kikuchi.

Nashville getting clobbered, but Vinny Capra went three for three with a double, a home run, and an HBP. He also made an error to remind us that he is in fact human, after all.

For Montas I’d say 5 IP | 2 ER or even a good old fashioned “quality start” of 6 IP | 3 ER is about the best we can hope for so that would qualify as good. 5 IP | 3 ER is about his median so I’d say that’s fine. Any fewer innings or more runs than that gets into bad territory. Also, CHOURIO!!

Yhoswar intentionally walked to load the bases for Reece Walling.

A Filippo Di Turi walk and Daniel Guilarte single has runners on the corners two down with Yhoswar Garcia trying for the walk off.

Carolina rallies for three runs bottom of nine on a pair of doubles from Blayberg Diaz and Josh Adamczewski followed by Bitonti’s second bomb of the night to the things up at five each.

Luis Lara HBP (stolen base), Cooper Pratt single, Jadher Areinamo single, and a Luke Adams sac fly has the score at 4 to 0 TRats bottom of five.

Logan Henderson shoving at 5 IP | 1 ER | 1 H | 0 BB | 1 HBP | 6 K so far for the Shuckers. Dylan O’Rae has doubled while Mike Boeve has doubled and homered driving in all three Biloxi runs.

Anthony Flores dealing in Carolina to the tune of five scoreless relief innings with 0 H | 1 BB | 4 K.

You ain’t kidding, double and a home run already in his first two trips to the plate. KC Hunt has gone five scoreless with 3 H | 1 BB | 6 K as we head to the bottom half of five with Wisco leading 2 to 0.

Dodgers went 11 W - 13 L in July, their first losing month since April 2018.

6'5" German, 5'10" Venezuelan...easy to get mixed up.

Wenderlyn King (4.0 IP | 3 H | 1 BB | 5 K) and Joshua Quezada (2.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 HBP | 2 K) both made scoreless appearances while Handelfry Encarnacion went 2 for 4 with a double, walk & two RBI in the 6 to 5 DSL Uno victory. Juan Ortuno put up another casual 2 for 5 two RBI day as well. Jesus Made with kind of a blah day by his standards with just a single, walk and stolen base. Francisco Guevara (AHEM) make that Paul Hoff, closed out the 7 to 5 DSL Dos win with three scoreless innings of 1 H | 2 BB | 2 K work. Jonathan Rangel also had a nice day at the plate with going 2 for 5 with a pair of stolen bases and an RBI.

Looks like Braylon Payne came in at #19 on the most recent BF voting. Scrolling the ballots, if I counted right, Meccage was on eleven of the twenty four ballots with a high placement of #12. He was listed above Payne on three of those eleven. Payne was listed on fifteen ballots with a high placement of #8. Burke ended up on ten ballots with a high placement of #9.

Jacob MisiorowskiCooper PrattTyler BlackJeferson QueroRobert GasserBrock WilkenLogan HendersonYophery RodriguezCraig YohoJosh KnothLuke AdamsMike BoeveLuis LaraEric BitontiEric Brown JrCarlos F RodriguezBraylon PayneLuis PenaJesus MadeJose Anderson

League average wOBA is .311 so far this year. When position players are pitching, that jumps up to a .403 wOBA. Aaron Judge has a .470 wOBA against actual pitchers.

Thought it might be fun to look for some historical comps for what Chourio has been doing of late. The first year I really remember baseball is 1986 so I used that as a starting point and it turns out there have been 5,499 qualifying hitter seasons between then and last year. Here are the individual player seasons most similar to what Jackson has been up to... Chourio (166 PA since 0602) 87 BB+ | 67 K+ | 130 AVG+ | 137 ISO+ | 149 wRC+ (still kinda blows my mind that Jackson has trimmed his K rate from 27.3% over his first 176 PA to 15.1% over his last 166 PA, talk about a quantum leap) 2016 Daniel Murphy 70 BB+ | 48 K+ | 133 AVG+ | 151 ISO+ | 154 wRC+ 2019 Ketel Marte 95 BB+ | 63 K+ | 127 AVG+ | 141 ISO+ | 150 wRC+ 2011 Jacoby Ellsbury 88 BB+ | 75 K+ | 124 AVG+ | 153 ISO+ | 150 wRC+ 2007 Chase Utley 92 BB+ | 88 K+ | 122 AVG+ | 143 ISO+ | 150 wRC+ 1989 Robin Yount 108 BB+ | 72 K+ | 122 AVG+ | 158 ISO+ | 149 wRC+ 2009 Ryan Braun 87 BB+ | 98 K+ | 120 AVG+ | 148 ISO+ | 149 wRC+ 2009 Pablo Sandoval 89 BB+ | 75 K+ | 124 AVG+ | 144 ISO+ | 146 wRC+ 2017 Jose Ramirez 96 BB+ | 50 K+ | 124 AVG+ | 153 ISO+ | 146 wRC+ 1991 Paul Molitor 116 BB+ | 56 K+ | 125 AVG+ | 122 ISO+ | 145 wRC+ That's seven guys that are pretty similar, plus I threw in the Yount and Molitor seasons as they were still pretty close even though they both walked considerably more. There ended up being 230 individual player seasons in the sample between a 154 wRC+ and 145 wRC+, of those only 33 had a below average walk rate so that narrowed the pool of comps right off the bat.

Definitely a lot to like. Lefty, big listed height. Obviously a tiny sample but looks like his 1.24 FIP and 1.30 xFIP are thee very lowest on the island among 711 pitchers with at least 10 IP.

@Joseph Zarr I think you mean Corniel? Hopefully Daniel fares better tonight than Alexander did in his most recent outing.

It's an average of the top 5% of all throws. I'd imagine between turning double plays and making plays on the edge of his range that most if not all of those top 5% of Turang's throws are at or close to full strength.

Super small sample obviously as Willy has played 946 of 959 innings at SS this year, but when he hasn't they have gone with Ortiz over Turang. Joey also has also registered a stronger arm (84.4 MPH on average per StatCast) than Brice (80.1 MPH).

They’ve gone 6-5 since the All Star Break. That’s an improvement over the 3-7 record they posted going into the break. On July 3rd they were 52-35, a 97 win pace. No one believed or believes this is a 97 win true talent level team so of course there is going to be regression from that unsustainable pace over the final 75 (now down to 54) games. You were pushing the Vegas 75.5 over/under as a harbinger entering the season, so I guess I can understand why you’d be anxious for a complete collapse.

Entering the game Peguero had stranded 12 of 19 inherited base runners, tied for the fourth highest percentage among MLB relievers. Zero qualified relievers have stranded 100% of inherited runners this year. The Brewers bullpen had a +9.18 Win Probability Added entering the game, 2nd in MLB behind only Cleveland (+11.01). Third place is STL all the way down at +4.87. That is a massive gap.

Koenig goes 1-2-3 if Ortiz doesn't make the error.