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long ball

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Everything posted by long ball

  1. long ball
    In my head I’ve been thinking 2028 (or 2029 if we keep Turang in his final year of arb) is the prime chance at winning a World Series. Hopefully peak Turang and Chourio. All of these pre-arb pitchers will be 2-3 years of experience at that point and hitting that 2021 level rotation we had. but your point is well taken for me. I think I’ve been too optimistic that guys like Made, Pratt, Lara, Jett, and Quero will be championship level in their second years as potential every day players. I’m probably a little more optimistic than you are as I think Yelich will still be be our DH and Frelick our RF in 2028. as it turns to 2029, that’s one more year of experience for the upcoming core, the pitching will still be similar, but the Turang situation would be up in the air so that would be a huge loss from the line up if he’s traded before 2029.
  2. long ball
    Ortiz has started 30 games at SS to Hamiltons 16. even shortening it to recently and just considering May, it’s 10:6 in favor of Ortiz. I think Hamilton is fine. I like the OBP and speed out of the bottom of the line up. I don’t mind that he only gets on my bunting or walking since he bats 8th or 9th. I just think that if they’re going to transition to Williams at third, a position he’s new to and a rookie, they’ll want the stability of Ortiz’s defense at SS. point taken that Ortiz has potentially more to gain at AAA offensively. i guess I’ll believe they’d “pick” Hamilton over Ortiz when I see it. I also thought they’d stick with Perkins over Lockridge (before the Chourio injury) so I’ve been wrong before.
  3. long ball
    “That doesn't necessarily mean the team would dump him as part of calling up Williams, though. In fact, to preserve depth and give their investment a bit more time to turn for the better, they'd be more likely to option either Ortiz or Hamilton (the former being more likely, for multiple reasons) and roll with Rengifo as a bench option for a spell.” Why do you believe the team is more likely to option Ortiz than Hamilton? Or was that a typo?
  4. long ball
    Makes all the sense in the world to just keep with the 5 man rotation rather than keep certain guys on 4 days rest. There will be plenty of opportunities for them to go on 4 days rest last in the season. Gasser getting the start makes sense since we need the 5th guy and the only heakthy guys who could get that start are Crow (in the minors and can’t be recalled without a being an injury replacement) and Patrick/Drohan who seem to be bullpen guys for now. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Patrick or Drohan follow Gasser on Saturday though.
  5. long ball
    So we are first in wins. First in runs scored. First in ERA? Seems good.
  6. long ball
    I definitely think it made sense to bring Patrick in as a starter this year. A) the guy earned it with his performance last year b) he’s one of the older guys in this pre-arb pitching group c) his arsenal was tweaked and maybe that would allow him to thrive as a starter. It didn’t fail, but it also wasn’t great. He’s shown to be an absolute weapon out of the pen whether it be in short or long relief. I like him in this role. Ideally he still remains stretched out to where he can give us 3 IP when needed. I think the Brewers are balancing some things with this group of pre-arb starters. They’re managing workloads, developing guys at the big league level, and trying to compete to win the division. It’s quite ambitious. But I think we will see them continue to try to thread this needle. Realistically, none of these guys have much to learn in AAA at this point, but it’s a way for their innings to be managed and getting their best bullets for the big league club
  7. long ball
    Brown has mostly pitched in short relief, but he’s made 2 4 innings starts his last two times out of basically shut down the Braves and rangers for 4 innings. Would be a great game for the offense to stick to the “drag him” mentality.
  8. long ball
    I initially thought they’d non-tender him, but after some further thought I tend to agree with you. minimal raise over arb1 salary. Not that much more than a league minimum salary of a pre-arb pitcher. He will still have 1 option remaining. We liked him enough to acquire him and he should hopefully be back at some point in the second half of next year. I think it’s worth a flier. Maybe offer a 2 year deal worth like $2m? Zerpa gets a big league deal and service time while he rehabs instead of a non tender and what might be a minor league deal. Brewers reduce the cost of 2027 whiles he’s out much of the year, but take on a little added risk by giving him guaranteed money in 2028.
  9. long ball
    Bumping this thread after we’ve seen what kinda unintentionally turned into two piggyback starts in the last 3 games. I don’t think these were intentional, Murphy even sorta alluded to just letting Patrick continue to pitch because it was working and he really only “planned” for 2. Not sure they’ll make any “permanent” matches of guys… but Sproat, Patrick, Gasser, Crow, Drohan, and even Henderson could kinda fit into some loose pairs while Harrison and Misiorowski are more traditional SP (and woody if/when he’s healthy) I
  10. long ball
    So if Megill pitches the 8th, Patrick only went 1 IP. does that mean Patrick makes his next start on Saturday against the Twins? will be interesting to see what Murphy says about Patrick pitching in relief tonight. I assume one of our best writers will ask about it post game.
  11. long ball
    Volpe is an interesting idea. He’s probably better than Ortiz, can definitely play SS, and he’s fallen out of favor with his current team. We’ve matched up with the Yankees on a trade recently. I think it would take a legitimate prospect to get a deal done. Someone we’re familiar with, but I’m not sure how good of a package. ultimately I think we are more likely to turn to Pratt and/or Williams than we are to acquire anyone notable.
  12. long ball
    I think this is pretty fair on everyone listed.
  13. long ball
    I expected Eddys Leonard to make to opening day roster before they made the late flurry of moves with the Durbin trade and signing Rengifo. I have to imagine it’s only a matter of time before he gets an opportunity in Milwaukee. I feel like Rengifo hasn’t been as bad as his batting line would suggest, but eventually we will need some production out of the left side of the infield. I wonder how likely an in season promotion got Adamczewski is. There’s some space for him in that AA outfield. Payne too if they both keep this up.
  14. long ball
    I guess I didn’t realize he needed to be added to the 40 man roster. That aspect is a little bit of a bummer. Hopefully you don’t need 3 options on him, but we will be burning an option this year. It also gives us 1 less 40 man roster spot to cycle through waiver claims, promotions, trades, etc. just minor inconveniences if Pratt turns into an above average starting SS
  15. long ball
    Probably pretty good framework on what it would take to sign Made to a long term deal. i know griffin is considered to be a better prospect than Emerson, but this is a heck of a lot more.
  16. long ball
    Just reading the prospect reports I was thinking Lara may end up as a high floor 4th outfielder. Similar profile to Blake Perkins. But then he was impressive in big league camp and now that MiLBtv is included with mlbtv I’ve watched a few games and I’m back on board with him being the CF of the future and possibly even by opening day 2027. carlos Rodriguez might be in DFA danger at some point this year. Not a lot of dead weight on the 40 man. He’s one of 3-4 guys who might not last the season.
  17. long ball
    The 2027 infield outlook is definitely a bit murkier than I see the 2028 infield. First: If you asked me at the start of the off season I would have guessed Vaughn would be playing elsewhere in 2027. He still might be, but i'm finding hard to believe we would trade Vaughn and Contreras in the same off season. I do expect us to trade contreras, so if Vaughn is worth tendering a contract to, he could be our primary first baseman in 2027. Maybe Black gets a crack at the Bauers role, he'll be out of options after all. Second: Turang. not much discussion needed for 2027. SS: with the Pratt extension, I expect he'll be the primary SS in 2027. Not sure what to make of the Ortiz situation, if he rebounds to a league average bat it's a tougher decision. Third: I think at some point, even if it isn't opening day, Made will be the primary third baseman in 2027. I hope we're able to sign him to an extension and the Emerson deal is a pretty reasonable comp. 2028 I think the picture is much clearer. I expect Turang, Pratt and Made to entrenched as starters and I think Fischer winds up slotting in at first base.
  18. long ball
    I was only able to catch some of the game, but the bullpen keeps bullpenning. Off day tomorrow will be nice, especially because Chad Patrick is unlikely to go more than 5.0 IP. nice to get 6 out of Misiorowski and 2 of the 3 relief innings were from the “B” bullpen.
  19. long ball
    The brewers having confidence in him gives me more confidence in him. I suppose he’s penciled in as our opening day short stop in 2027. this also probably firms up Made moving off of SS. (as far as Turang goes, ya we probably aren’t going to extend or resign him. However no reason to to at least keeping him through the 2028 season)
  20. long ball
    Looks like Matos is out of options. So I’d assume that means Perkins will be optioned to AAA. I don’t know anything about Matos other than looking at his stats page. Nothing real exciting there.
  21. long ball
    Caveat of it being the white Sox, but it’s great to see this team show the same fight they showed so often last season. real bummer of a start for sproat. Couldn’t reign in any semblance of command. Hopefully he bounces back next start. heck of a job by the B bullpen and defense to keep the white Sox down long enough to give the offense a chance and megill to close it out. a little surprised Contreras didn’t challenge the potential strike three call in the top of the 9th to the first batter. Glad it didn’t end up hurting us. fun way to start the year! Looking forward to the next series. Harrison is the newcomer in most interested in seeing.
  22. long ball
    I’m looking forward to Sproats first start. He only had 4 mlb starts last year but 2 of them he went six innings. So it would be nice if he can get through 5 or 6. I’d expect Koenig and Megill to each get an inning today as well. it’ll be interesting to see how we fare against a lefty SP down 2 of our 3 main righty bats. Luckily it should be a bit of a soft landing, a guy we should be able to hit.
  23. long ball
    It’s not how we wanted it to happen, but we are going to see a lot of Bauers and Lockridge. We will see if the changes they’ve made at the plate produce regular season results over at least a month here.
  24. long ball
    For those who didn’t know, milbtv is included in mlbtv this year.
  25. long ball
    I hate that the cubs locked up Nico Hoerner. He’s awesome and I would’ve preferred to see them trade him in the off season after signing Bregman. I do wonder how much faith they have in Matt Shaw to develop as a hitter. They’ve slid him into the utility role and was out on RF yesterday (Seiya is on the IL). The PCA extension has some risk, but ultimately they bought out 2 free agent years and didn’t have to take the deal into his 30s where his premier skills (defense and speed) will likely be starting to fade. Now I hope just like the rest of the commenters here that he stinks at the plate, but the speed/defense/power give him a really high floor.
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