2016 Division Series: Blue Jays vs. Rangers, Red Sox vs. Indians, Dodgers vs. Nationals, Giants vs. Cubs (Blue Jays, Indians, Dodgers, Cubs advance)

[sveumrules]

At this point I think the best match up would have to be Chicago vs. Cleveland. Battle of the Curses. For Cleveland to go however many years since their last major title & then get two in a row between the Cavs & the Tribe while keeping the Cubs curse intact is probably the best possible outcome.

[MillerParkSouth]

I would love Dusty to eliminate the Cubs in Wrigley.

[owbc]

Cleveland opens up a 3-1 lead in the WS, Cubs come back to win 4-3.

[CheezWizHed]

Do the Cubs finally let the goat in? Did Maddon bring him in with the petting zoo?

[MadThinker88]

Quick Question: Other than Marco Estrada, are there any other alumni from the 2014 Brewers still playing in the 2016 post season??

 

Once 'Brewers South' aka Texas got eliminated, the number remaining dropped significantly....

[1992casey]

Lineups, Dodgers vs. Nationals, Game 5

 

Dodgers

1. 2B Chase Utley (L)
   
2. SS Corey Seager (L)
   
3. 3B Justin Turner ®
   
4. 1B Adrian González (L)
   
5. RF Josh Reddick (L)
   
6. CF Joc Pederson (L)
   
7. C Yasmani Grandal (S)
   
8. LF Andrew Toles (L)
   
9. LHP Rich Hill (L)

 

Nationals

1. CF Trea Turner ®
   
2. RF Bryce Harper (L)
   
3. LF Jayson Werth ®
   
4. 2B Daniel Murphy (L)
   
5. 3B Anthony Rendon ®
   
6. 1B Ryan Zimmerman ®
   
7. SS Danny Espinosa (S)
   
8. C José Lobatón (S)
   
9. RHP Max Scherzer ®

[TURBO]

Looks like Ed Sedar is coaching 3B for the Nats tonight...

[sveumrules]

That was a looooong inning. Will be curious to see if Roberts tries to ride Jansen all the way to the line.

[Polish Falcons]

That was a looooong inning. Will be curious to see if Roberts tries to ride Jansen all the way to the line.

 

 

Indeed, the longest inning I ever recall watching.

 

I was surprised the Nats pulled Scherzer after 99 pitches, one pitch into the 7th, which happened to be a home run but still. It really burned them.

[adambr2]

No matter how much evidence that there is that a runner on 2nd, 1 out, actually gives you less of a chance of scoring than a runner on 1st, 0 out, managers refuse to believe it.

[Bombers]

Go American League!

[hawing]

Go American League!

Yeah, I think with the "final four" set, I'm likely to be rooting AL by the World Series round.

[MadScientist]

No matter how much evidence that there is that a runner on 2nd, 1 out, actually gives you less of a chance of scoring than a runner on 1st, 0 out, managers refuse to believe it.

I thought that the numbers show that 2nd and 1 out increases the chance of 1 run scoring, but lowers the chance of any more runs scoring. Thus the Earl Weaver quote 'If you play for one run, that's all you'll get.'

[topper09er]

No matter how much evidence that there is that a runner on 2nd, 1 out, actually gives you less of a chance of scoring than a runner on 1st, 0 out, managers refuse to believe it.

 

Every situation is different, you cant group all these 2 situations together. If the pitcher is batting things are much different. Here is an attempt to adjust the RE24 based on the hitter, and it doesnt even let you adjust the wOBA lower than .250.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/introducing-the-batter-specific-run-expectancy-tool/

 

Doing that runner on 1st, 0 out with the pitcher up gives you .594 average runs per inning.

Runner on 2nd, 1 out and league average hitter up (.320 wOBA) gives you the same number.

 

However, the average pitcher has a wOBA closer to .100

[RockCoCougars]

I have to say that I'm happy for the Cubs fans. Not so much the bandwagoners, but there are lots of die hard older fans that don't have many World Series left- the fact that they finally get to experience one in their lifetimes is pretty cool if you ask me.