Pirates (Ortiz) vs Brewers (Peralta): 6/18/23, 1:10pm

[Brock Beauchamp]

Happy Father's Day!

The Crew has a chance to sweep the reeling Pirates and cast them further down the NLC standings... but the Reds refuse to lose right now and continue to nip at the Brewers' heels.

[treego14]

[treego14]

[Jim French Stepstool]

Tapia has spent some time at or near the top of the order in his career. As long as we're rolling with him (at least for now) he looks like a better option at #2 than Winker.

Looking for Peralta to do a much better job of gutting through his outings when 1 or 2 things don't go his way. Lately when that happens his whole world seems to fall apart.

[Frisbee Slider]

Is there underlying data on how Peralta’s ‘stuff’ and luck has been this year?

[nate82]

Just now, Frisbee Slider said:

Is there underlying data on how Peralta’s ‘stuff’ and luck has been this year?

Peralta's baseball savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/freddy-peralta-642547?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb

Peralta still has elite stuff it is just that he is not placing his pitches correctly.  They are getting too much of the plate especially his fastball, changeup and curveball. 

 

Then you can also look at his babip and HR/FB:

[sveumrules]

8 minutes ago, Frisbee Slider said:

Is there underlying data on how Peralta’s ‘stuff’ and luck has been this year?

Looking at the Stuff+ metric his fastball (116, 109, 118 last three seasons) and slider (119, 102, 122 last three seasons) have been good.

His curve (102, 127, 81) has really fallen off by this measure and his change up (70, 86, 50) has never graded out well but has been extra bad this year.

Looking at StatCast his xERA has jumped to 4.31 this year after sitting at 2.66/2.70 in 21/22. Barrel percentage up to 9.9% vs 6.0%/3.5% in 21/22, so looks like location has been the primary culprit as @nate82 alluded to.

[jason21nl]

Adames is brutal 

[Frisbee Slider]

Would have been nice to cash in a lead off double.

[BruisedCrew]

If there’s an MLB team with a worse 2-3-4 in their batting order than the Brewers have had the last 2 days I’d like to see it. And it isn’t like there are any injured players that would or should be filling those spots. 

[LouisEly]

Anyone else watching on the Ballys app and getting the game in standard definition?  Not my internet, that's getting 200 Mb/s.

[Simba2020]

Great effort by Yelich? He did not play that well at all.

[jay87shot]

2 minutes ago, BruisedCrew said:

If there’s an MLB team with a worse 2-3-4 in their batting order than the Brewers have had the last 2 days I’d like to see it. And it isn’t like there are any injured players that would or should be filling those spots. 

Agreed, I don't blame much this year on council but his refusal to move Winker and Adames out of the 2 and 3 hole is unexcussable. Adames is at the point he should be bench for Montasario.

[HarryDoyle]

1 minute ago, jay87shot said:

Agreed, I don't blame much this year on council but his refusal to move Winker and Adames out of the 2 and 3 hole is unexcussable. Adames is at the point he should be bench for Montasario.

He certainly shouldn't be playing every day.

[Frisbee Slider]

Not a lot of command unless this was intentional walk 

[sveumrules]

3 minutes ago, BruisedCrew said:

If there’s an MLB team with a worse 2-3-4 in their batting order than the Brewers have had the last 2 days I’d like to see it. And it isn’t like there are any injured players that would or should be filling those spots. 

Kinda like with McCutchen vs Hiura last year, the Brewers seem to put more faith in the projections than actual to date production this early in the season.

Winker (55 actual wRC+ vs 106-115 projected), Adames (78 actual wRC+ vs 102-120 projected) and Rowdy (98 actual wRC+ vs 111-123 projected) “should be” three of our better hitters moving forward even if they haven’t been thus far.

That appears to be the reasoning behind the lineup construction anyway.

[82brewcrew82]

44 minutes ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

Tapia has spent some time at or near the top of the order in his career. As long as we're rolling with him (at least for now) he looks like a better option at #2 than Winker.

Looking for Peralta to do a much better job of gutting through his outings when 1 or 2 things don't go his way. Lately when that happens his whole world seems to fall apart.

Looks like the leadoff double was enough to shake him today.

[BruisedCrew]

7 minutes ago, Frisbee Slider said:

Not a lot of command unless this was intentional walk 

Not too different than the non competitive pitches after going 0-2 on the next hitter. He was fortunate that the 3-2 pitch tickled the edge of the strike zone and the umpire didn’t squeeze him. 

[HarryDoyle]

Gees Urias, is the the bat superglued to your shoulder?

[markedman5]

Yikes

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/pittsburgh-pirates-bus-driver-arrested-for-dui-while-transporting-team-from-chicago-to-milwaukee/

[HarryDoyle]

Freddy can't find the strike zone with a divining rod.

[markedman5]

The season of disappointing Freddy 2023 continues 

[HarryDoyle]

I'd get someone up in the bullpen. Freddy looks even worse than usual. He may be hurt.

[jason21nl]

These type of games are annoying as hell to watch.  

[BruisedCrew]

26 minutes ago, Frisbee Slider said:

Not a lot of command unless this was intentional walk 

Not too different than the non competitive pitches after going 0-2 on the next hitter. He was fortunate that the 3-2 pitch tickled the edge of the strike zone and the umpire didn’t squeeze him.