Reds (Martinez) vs Brewers (Myers): 8/10/24, 6:10pm

[Brock Beauchamp]

[treego14]

Reds better not try us!  We have Tobias!

Celebrate with Martinis ... we get to crush Martinez!

[willie key]

I know this doesn’t necessarily pertain to the brewers game but I was looking up stats and saw Turang number 2 in mlb in stolen bases.    Ohtani is third

i have no problem saying that ohtani is a top five baseball player in the history of the game.    And if you use other criteria then I wail say he’s easily in the top five most talented/skilled player ever.   And probably number one 

[sveumrules]

Brewers now a half game behind the Dodgers for the #2 seed, compared to seven games ahead of the Cardinals for the NLC lead.

[nate82]

19 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

Brewers now a half game behind the Dodgers for the #2 seed, compared to seven games ahead of the Cardinals for the NLC lead.

After yesterday's game the Brewers have the 3rd best run differential with only 1 run separating them from the #2 spot and 7 runs from the #1 team.  The Brewers are actually below their expected win loss for the first time since 2016. 

[willie key]

27 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

Brewers now a half game behind the Dodgers for the #2 seed, compared to seven games ahead of the Cardinals for the NLC lead.

This will be off my radar unless we show that we can compete with them this week.  If we win a couple of games then I will start following that

[BruisedCrew]

Dansby Swanson’s wife scored the winning (and only) goal in the Olympic gold medal soccer game. 

[sveumrules]

16 minutes ago, BruisedCrew said:

Dansby Swanson’s wife scored the winning (and only) goal in the Olympic gold medal soccer game. 

At least one Swanson is having a good summer anyway.

I tried finding out if Dansby was somehow part of the Swanson TV Dinner bloodline at one point, and apparently his dad’s name is Cooter.

[willie key]

24 minutes ago, BruisedCrew said:

Dansby Swanson’s wife scored the winning (and only) goal in the Olympic gold medal soccer game. 

Is that the one that was blistering fast out there?    She was just blowing by everyone

[BruisedCrew]

1 minute ago, willie key said:

Is that the one that was blistering fast out there?    She was just blowing by everyone

That’s probably who you’re thinking of. 

[Jim French Stepstool]

16 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

At least one Swanson is having a good summer anyway.

I tried finding out if Dansby was somehow part of the Swanson TV Dinner bloodline at one point, and apparently his dad’s name is Cooter.

COOTER?

Where did he grow up, Crabwell Corners?

[Jim French Stepstool]

2 hours ago, sveumrules said:

Brewers now a half game behind the Dodgers for the #2 seed, compared to seven games ahead of the Cardinals for the NLC lead.

And 2.5 behind Philadelphia, which I never would've expected.

Murphy keeps using words like 'relentless' & 'hungry' to describe this group. Enjoying a division lead & at the same time having the home-field carrot dangling in front of you for the playoffs fuels that. You need to turn in a real sustained run to stick with the other division leaders & my focus is still on the Central. But it's a nice carrot.

[Brian]

4 minutes ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

And 2.5 behind Philadelphia, which I never would've expected.

Murphy keeps using words like 'relentless' & 'hungry' to describe this group. Enjoying a division lead & at the same time having the home-field carrot dangling in front of you for the playoffs fuels that. You need to turn in a real sustained run to stick with the other division leaders & my focus is still on the Central. But it's a nice carrot.

Here is another carrot, Rhys Hoskins in August: 9 for his last 26 with 2 walks. A good time for him to get hot with the playoffs on the horizon. 

[willie key]

5 minutes ago, Brian said:

Here is another carrot, Rhys Hoskins in August: 9 for his last 26 with 2 walks. A good time for him to get hot with the playoffs on the horizon. 

We have to get something out of first base.   Hopefully he has a nice end to the season

[sveumrules]

22 minutes ago, Brian said:

Here is another carrot, Rhys Hoskins in August: 9 for his last 26 with 2 walks. A good time for him to get hot with the playoffs on the horizon. 

Yeah, hopefully he’s back to feeling a little healthier after that hammy.

pre-injury (156 PA)
233/340/474 (127 wRC+)

post-injury (158 PA)
193/268/350 (71 wRC+)

since 0726 (50 PA)
341/380/659 (178 wRC+) 

Recent hot streak has raised his wRC+ from 99 on 0724 to 110 today, working back up towards his 126 career mark entering the season.

[sveumrules]

From 2016-22 Brewers pitchers were pretty good at beating their peripherals with a cumulative 3.94 ERA | 4.10 FIP.

Their -0.16 gap was 4th best in MLB over that stretch and shook out to 102.8 fWAR (8th) and 116.2 rWAR (7th).

The defense chipping in +182 DRS (6th) no doubt helped.

Over the last two years they’ve taken things to a whole new level or three.

In 2023 it was a 3.73 ERA | 4.21 FIP (-0.48), so far this year it’s a 3.77 ERA | 4.37 FIP (-0.60).

Together over the last two years they are at a 3.74 ERA | 4.28 FIP (-0.54) with the second best FIP beating team NYY down at 3.89 ERA | 4.24 FIP (-0.35).

The gap between the Brewers and Yankees in 1st/2nd is the same as the gap between the Yankees in 2nd down to NYM/TOR in 7th/8th.

Put it all together since 2023 and the Brewers 23.1 fWAR ranks 19th while their 39.9 rWAR ranks 1st, as in thee very best in baseball (by a couple decimal points).

Again, the defense notching +102 DRS (2nd) has been a huge factor in this whole Run Prevention Unit thing.

[igor67]

I can somewhat under not getting too invested in snagging the #2 seed at this point, but we are also deep enough in the season that team is more or less what the record says you are, so the Dodgers, Phillies, and Brewers are pretty similar, and because of how close they are to both teams it is either a matter of the Brewers playing really well down the stretch or 1 of those 2 underperforming somewhat. Way better odds of 1 of those things happening compared to the Cards over taking us.

[Oxy]

2 hours ago, sveumrules said:

From 2016-22 Brewers pitchers were pretty goo...

....

Again, the defense notching +102 DRS (2nd) has been a huge factor in this whole Run Prevention Unit thing.

It's inherent in the labels.  Quite literally FIP means the quality of the Brewers pitchers with an average defense behind them...but by design the Brewers DO NOT have an average defense behind them. ELITE defense IS a game winning thing that the Brewers have been ahead of the curve on after the boomball steroid/juiced ball eras.  The new moneyball in the last 8 years or so has been defense (RIP Keston Hiura).

[Oxy]

Tobias Myers just keeps moving up the crazy quality diamond in the rough finds by Arnold and co.

[markedman5]

Meyers command is so impressive…….can’t believe how far he’s come 

[edfunderburk]

When is the last time Freddy Peralta had similar results to Myers in the first inning?

[yourout]

Nobody wants to put the ball in play so far.

Six at bats and five strike outs

[areacodes]

8 minutes ago, edfunderburk said:

When is the last time Freddy Peralta had similar results to Myers in the first inning?

7/31 against the Braves.  1-2-3 inning with 1 K and only 11 pitches.

[markedman5]

Brewers haven’t had a hit in a while……..lol

last 5 last night I think and now 2 tonight…….lets go boys! 

[yourout]

Come on Willy you had all day. Just stay in front of it.