Brewers (Misiorowski) vs Nationals (Irvin): 5/1/26, 5:45pm

[zurch1818]

Here is Mitchell's statcast summary:

The all-or-nothing completely matches the smell test. He doesn't swing at bad pitches (high walk rate) but he swings so hard that he creates a hole in the zone (high whiff rate). If this were golf, I'd tell him to take an 80% swing (sacrifice some bat speed) to capitalize on speed asset. I can't see this hurting his overall offensive production.

To throw a name out there from the past, these K/BB splits remind me of Adam Dunn. He obviously wasn't a fast player but knew how to draw his walks.

[sveumrules]

12 hours ago, BruisedCrew said:

The fact that the Brewers Pythagorean projection is 19-11, 3 games better than their actual record, is a reflection of those “feast” games. 

I think it's more a reflection of Zerpa and Megill's early struggles.

Brewer's relievers were credited with 78 losses (16% of all games) from 2023 to 2025.

So far this year they have been credited with eight losses in 31 games (25.8% of all games), with Zerpa and Megill a combined 0 W - 4 L.

If the bullpen had maintained that 16% rate here in the early going the Brewers would have three fewer losses and be right on the nose for their pythag even with those handful of games running up their differential.

[liveforoctober]

28 minutes ago, zurch1818 said:

Here is Mitchell's statcast summary:

The all-or-nothing completely matches the smell test. He doesn't swing at bad pitches (high walk rate) but he swings so hard that he creates a hole in the zone (high whiff rate). If this were golf, I'd tell him to take an 80% swing (sacrifice some bat speed) to capitalize on speed asset. I can't see this hurting his overall offensive production.

To throw a name out there from the past, these K/BB splits remind me of Adam Dunn. He obviously wasn't a fast player but knew how to draw his walks.

Muprhy's "the first two strikes are for you, the 3rd strike is for the team" philosophy seems like it should be hammered into Mitchell a bit more. Choke up and make contact with two strikes ... his speed would create so many more infield hits. I know it is hard to rewire an athlete's brain from what has gotten them to the show ... but if could be Garrett Mitchell until he gets to two strikes and then Sal Frelick once he has two strikes... he would be a .900 OPS guy.

[willie key]

32 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

I think it's more a reflection of Zerpa and Megill's early struggles.

Brewer's relievers were credited with 78 losses (16% of all games) from 2023 to 2025.

So far this year they have been credited with eight losses in 31 games (25.8% of all games), with Zerpa and Megill a combined 0 W - 4 L.

If the bullpen had maintained that 16% rate here in the early going the Brewers would have three fewer losses and be right on the nose for their pythag even with those handful of games running up their differential.

Yep.   And this is why I’m not bullish on brewers this year.   That is the decret sauce for their consistency.    But maybe they can remake their bullpen.    Who knows

[BruisedCrew]

1 hour ago, sveumrules said:

I think it's more a reflection of Zerpa and Megill's early struggles.

Brewer's relievers were credited with 78 losses (16% of all games) from 2023 to 2025.

So far this year they have been credited with eight losses in 31 games (25.8% of all games), with Zerpa and Megill a combined 0 W - 4 L.

If the bullpen had maintained that 16% rate here in the early going the Brewers would have three fewer losses and be right on the nose for their pythag even with those handful of games running up their differential.

Obviously the bullpen hasn’t been great. But applying a rate developed over 486 games and expecting it to be repeated in a stretch of 30 games, especially early in the season with short starts and the use of “openers”,  seems to warrant a “small sample size” alert. 

I also looked at those 8 games and 2 of the 8 “bullpen” losses were charged to Sproat and Patrick when they replaced openers. In the other 6, it looks like only 3 of the games included blown saves. Those are situations when the relievers give up winning runs in tied games.

I also note that the number of runs scored by the Brewers in the 8 games in which the bullpen was charged with losses are: 2, 2, 6, 7, 5, 3, 3, 2. If the Brewers had a perfect bullpen they would have a couple more wins, but when you score 2 or 3 runs you’re going to lose more than you win. 
 

 

 

 

[wiguy94]

11 hours ago, liveforoctober said:

I know it is just the weekend remaining until the boys come back but I don't see a reason not to swap Leonard and Jones on the roster. Jones will clear waivers and we are not going to bring him back up anyway.. give his 40 man spot to Leonard so we have another RH option who can give you a competitive at bat. Send him back for Chourio on Monday. Haven't needed a clutch PH at bat thankfully in the last handful of games... but I will be saddened if any of our plastic left handed bats face a tough lefty late in a game because we have no options this weekend. Seems an easy move to make the roster better for 48 hours.

Leonard doesn’t have any options left. If you did this you would either have to keep him up or DFA him in 48 hours.

[BrewerFan]

I'm still not sure what to make of the pen. I think it'll... kinda hinge on Megill. His Velo is about where it was this time last year. He has a 2.41 FIP, but they have been just less reliable last year. It's not just the losses, I'd be willing to guess there were more games where they were down 1-2 runs and the BP gave up runs, hurting our chances to come back as well as the 8 losses. 

 

I'd love to see another reliever added. My early season crush Grant Taylor is dominant and... a rookie, so no reason the CHW trade him, but I'd love to see that 3rd power arm, right handed power arm added... and I don't think we have one in the MiLB who looks like they'll be ready soon. 

[Jim French Stepstool]

3 hours ago, liveforoctober said:

Muprhy's "the first two strikes are for you, the 3rd strike is for the team" philosophy seems like it should be hammered into Mitchell a bit more. Choke up and make contact with two strikes ... his speed would create so many more infield hits. I know it is hard to rewire an athlete's brain from what has gotten them to the show ... but if could be Garrett Mitchell until he gets to two strikes and then Sal Frelick once he has two strikes... he would be a .900 OPS guy.

Lotsa coaches/managers have had that philosophy over the years. In Mitchells' case I'd be tempted to amend that to only the 1st strike being for him. And if he's in situations like his last two AB yesterday, maybe all three should be for the team. His problem with contact is I believe a large part of the reason why he's been leading off. Last night the bottom half of the order found itself on base more & the empty swings were magnified.

Unless Lara simply can't be denied or he gets hurt again, 2026 looks like a real litmus test for Mitchell. Save for Lockridge taking over some of the ABs vs LHP he'll get a lions' share to show the assets of his game can outshine the warts (or the warts can be lessened).

[markedman5]

Miz gave a thumbs up today when asked how he was doing……..Murph said this

 

[RWeeksFan23]

21 hours ago, liveforoctober said:

This is a side tangent but every year it is always fascinating how going into the year I think some version of "we have 400 outfielders - there is no way we need Akil Baddoo. We have 800 starters, Carlos Rodriguez won't sniff the big leagues this year. We have 5 lefties in the bullpen! We need to trade 2 of them!"

... and yet here we are May 1st and I WISH Akil Baddoo was healthy. Not only did we already need Carlos but he has thrown well and we will need him again AND we have already dipped into multiple parts of the other AAA depth for starters.  We have already lost 3 of those aforementioned lefties and have needed 2 MORE lefties to come up and solidify the bullpen.

Every year.

Doesn't matter if it's Greg Jones, Steward Berroa, Anthony Siegler, Eric Sogard the 2nd time, Daz Cameron, Erick Fedde, Mitch White, Brewer Hicklen, Dallas Keuchel, etc etc

There are 15 times each year, no matter what, where I am watching someone step into the batter's box or take the mound and I'm thinking... "How on earth did we get to this point?"

I kinda forgot akil baddoo existed... what did he go on the IL for?

[BruisedCrew]

🤞🏻On Misioroski. 

[wiguy94]

6 minutes ago, RWeeksFan23 said:

I kinda forgot akil baddoo existed... what did he go on the IL for?

Hamstring strain I believe

[Jim French Stepstool]

27 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

Hamstring strain I believe

They've been describing it as a quad for Baddoo. Still claiming June as a possible target for a return. Given Perkins' struggles at the plate & Jones looking overmatched, it would be nice to have another option if needed.