Assessing the offense

[trwi7]

43 minutes ago, baseball101 said:

You’re literally only describing the Dodgers pitching staff. They are full of aces. No other team can match that talent. Every team is an underdog against the Dodgers in the postseason with that roster.

We could literally be facing Zack Wheeler and Christopher Sanchez in the playoffs before we would ever even get to the Dodgers.

[owbc]

32 minutes ago, Turning2 said:

In a nutshell... yep. Unfortunately, people get offended when that is pointed out because they can't see the forest (the big picture reality) for the (statistical) trees.  

Because there’s no actual proof that it has ever cost the Brewers a playoff series amid the myriad other factors that have caused us to lose postseason games.

If only we had more power than surely the Jose Quintana vs Shohei Ohtani pitching matchup would have turned out in our favor!

Not to mention the ALCS last year where the power hitting Mariners were outdone by the more balanced Toronto offense. 

[TURBO]

1 hour ago, Ron Robinsons Beard said:

I would suggest that you cool it with the condescension. Yes, it is obvious that they can't and don't tell the whole story, but of all major sports out there, baseball is the one where stats tell the biggest part of that story.

Are you a moderator?

Just checking, if not, your condescension and telling others how to post isn't warranted.

[Turning2]

2 hours ago, liveforoctober said:

So a consistent offense is an offense better than the Dodgers' offense is what we have landed on as your definition.

Your stance has recency bias all over it unfortunately. We beat Sanchez this year. We knocked Skubal out with a lead. Why weren't you upset at our consistency then?

We haven't landed on anything as a baseline definition. Using LA as the standard is a reasonable comparison, but it also is not the end all be all. I never said it was. 

I'll ask you the same question - If the Brewers had a pitching staff equal to the Dodgers in every metric, stat etc - do you believe that our offense could win the WS by their offensive capability alone. This assumes that pitching and defense is equal). If great pitching beats great hitting, but both teams have equal pitching - how confident are you that our bats would beat their bats?

 

[igor67]

Without having a great way to model your hypothetical I'd say it's still pretty close to the Brewers chances of winning the series right now about 40% maybe 45%. Injuries between now and the playoff series can easily affect the odds as much as any single bat they might find.