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Everything posted by jay87shot
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My guess is that we would add someone like Trevor Williams, Spencer Turnbull, or Ryan Yarbourgh later (start of spring training) on a cheaper deal (4-5) if we want some more starter depth.
- 15 replies
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- max scherzer
- justin verlander
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I feel like the amount given up for Josh Naylor, Luzardo, and now Nate Lowe has been surprisingly low. Naylor has only 1 year of control and isn't good defensively so that one isn't to surprising. For Luzardo Caba and Bryd seems like a light return. Both guys are athletic and Caba was a big int. signing but he basically had a year like Flippo di Turri (more steals). I get that he is a near top 100 prospect but outside of speed meh (same for Bryd). Lowe just went to Washington for Robert Garcia an average lefty reliever (era 2 runs higher than FIP). I would have been all over Lowe for essentially Elvis Peguero. I bet that means there is little chance we can move Rhys.
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Labor Discussion - Salary Cap, Local TV Sharing
jay87shot replied to Austin Tatious's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
LBetter revenue sharing would be huge. Maybe instead of just fully equal sharing you say like 50% any money over $45 million from a local deal gets split to the lower markets (or what ever amount makes most sense.. If you went full equal sharing I think what they could do is almost swap the competitive balance rules and the bigger teams get an extra pick for giving up money. I like the idea of putting in a salary floor in, I can't imagine how frustrating it is to be a Pirates, A's, or Ray's fan (among others) who refuse to spend money even when it would seem like they could spend more. I don't care as much about a salary cap if the smaller markets can spend a bit more. If Cohen or the Dodgers want to spend $400 million a year that is fine as long as teams like us can afford to keep more than 1 superstar at a time. Just keep in the extra taxs for going over a soft cap and distribute it out. Change the path to free agency is a good idea. I like 2 years pre-arby (expand perfermance awards), 2 years arby, then a restricted FA with like a 3 year max and nba style max salary (say like 30 million) and then unrestricted free agency, length and money after that. It gets good players more monet quickly but always the smaller teams ways to keep stars -
I would just pick have them play one spot and go with it. I think the question is if we give Durbin a shot at 3B or just put him at 2B. There is always the chance that Durbin doesn't make the team out of camp. I kind of just like the idea of Durbin and Frelick (maybe 2 games a week) with Mone or Dunn as utility platooning 3B at least to start and we could move things around if the defense at 3B isn't good or there are injuries.
- 2 replies
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- joey ortiz
- brice turang
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Trade Perkins to Minny for P Cory Lewis and 2B/SS Payton Earles Lewis is 6'5" with elite spin and extension and Earles is a shorter (yes) left handed version of Caleb Durbin (interesting to read about if you don't know him) Perkins makes way for Black to be 5th OF and 1B. (2B platoon/utility Earles/Durbin 2026 if not sooner) Trade Peguero to Arizona for Comp B pick and lotto prospect Trade Payamps to O's for Comp B pick and lotto prospect I couldn't find a solid OF that will be in AAA that I loved for either but that would be ideal, instead we like draft picks. Sign Jose Iglesias 1/6 (incentives and option) Not discussed much here but he was crazy good last year and seems like he is consistently overlooked. Not sure on how much he makes after that year so it could be a few more million. Sign Gavin Sheets 1/1.5 Sheets kind of becomes the lefty bench and insurance at 1B/DH and deep depth in OF if need be. Good power at DH/1B if Yeli or Mitchell get hurt and things shift around. 6 man rotation for a good portion of the year with Ashby #6 man. C: William Contreras ($7.60M) 1B: Rhys Hoskins ($18.00M) 2B: Turang ($0.8M) 3B: Jose Iglesias ($6M) SS: Ortiz ($0.80M) LF: Jackson Chourio ($4.25M) CF: Garrett Mitchell ($0.80M) RF: Sal Frelick ($0.80M) DH: Christian Yelich ($24.25M) 4th OF: Tyler Black ($0.8M) Utility: Earles/Durbin/Dunn/Mone/Collins ($0.80M) Utility: Gavin Sheets ($1.5M) Backup C: Eric Haase ($1.80M) NA: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M) SP1: Freddy Peralta ($8.25M) SP2: Aaron Civale ($8.00M) SP3: Tobias Myers ($0.80M) SP4: Brandon Woodruff ($5.00M) SP5: Cortes ($8.3M) RP: Bryan Hudson ($0.8M) RP: Trevor Megill ($2.00M) RP: Nick Mears ($0.90M) RP: Jared Koenig ($0.80M) RP: Yoho ($0.8M) RP: Hall ($0.8M) RP: Bauk/Jay/Thomas/Wolfram/Uribe ($0.8M) RP: Aaron Ashby ($3.45M) NA: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M) Payroll is 16.23% under budget
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Rosenthal: Jays "Fielding Interest" on Bichette
jay87shot replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I think the price would be to much for 1 year of a guy who just had a negative WAR season with a .277 obp. That being said there is a good chance at a bounce back season and then him declining a QO so I would give 2 decent pieces. My offer would be something like Black and Peguero you could probably convince me to add a lower value starting pitching prospect like Birchard/Cornielle or change Peguero to a prospect around our top 15-25. I would be pretty confident other teams will give up more however Bichette would be the type of guy I would move Turang off of 2B for and the not last year version of him would be perfect for this team. I would want to put him at 2B where I think he could be above average vs. a below aveage defensive SS (I could live with him at SS for a year if it was a non-negotiable. -
I would probably put him like 16. He is similar prospect value wise to KC Hunt. Part of me says Baez and Arienamo are better prospects because of age but the part that is winning says he is further along and has been successful so he gets a boost. At 25, not having mlb takes a bunch off his prospect value. He can still be an all-star type player, but for me age puts him out of the top 10 until he makes the big league club and has a few good games.
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I still have a lot of faith in Black, he struggled at the end of the year but there is still a lot of potential there. I kind of am warming up to the idea of trading Blake Perkins and having Black be our 5th OF and playing some 1B. I know people worry about Mitchell and Yeli getting hurt and then being short in the OF but I would be fine if Hicklen/Collins ends up our 4th OF if that happens. I think most people here are on the outs with Black not being an IF but this situation gives him 1 more shot at 1B and a door to his best defensive position the OF. I don't like the idea of just selling low on him it isn't how our org. works. I think selling high on a guy like Perk makes more sense.
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If Sam Darnold signs elsewhere I could see Rodgers going to Minny for 1 cheap year since JJ McCarthey still might not be ready. Cousins might be better for that if the Falcons cut him and he isn't bitter. Maybe a team like Cleveland or Tennessee would take a Rodgers chance if they miss out on the top couple QB's in the draft. I would think Davante would be great in San Fran, I think they trade Deebo and Davante goes back to Cali on a cheap deal.
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I would rather have Durbin or Mone/Dunn or Sal instead of a cheap-o signing. For me it kind of come down to how far away we think Boeve is. If we think Boeve could be ready mid-season than I would happily go along with what we have. However if we think Boeve is more of a 1B, then we really don't have an emergency plan if none of those fringe players work out at 3B. If there is money or a move to get a quality vet I would choose that 1st but would be able to live with what we have.
- 18 replies
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- caleb durbin
- oliver dunn
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International Free Agent Market (January 2025)
jay87shot replied to Joseph Zarr's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
I would give up all those guys and the negative feelings to get Sasaki, Yomamoto cost almost $300 million. To get an ace potentially at 25 with 6 years control is worth so much especially if you consider we would likely get the cheapest 4 years of control and then trade him for like 4-6 huge prospects. I think we can still sign guys to like 10k without counting against the pool so we could keep some and maybe add a few cheap adds. In reality we really don't have to worry about Sasaki coming here unless Nori Aoki is his uncle or something. -
I am would happily trade Rhys as long as we can spend that money on a 3B and another 1B option. As long as we don't just trade Rhys and then sign someone to like a 1/3 million and pocket the savings. I would think we either need to take a bad contract back or eat 6-8 million to make any deal work with the poor numbers last year. As others have mentioned, there is a decent chance he turns back to the .250/.350 hitter with 35 HR's so it isn't like we should just dump him to get rid of him. There needs to be a plan to get back that production. Here is something I would look at. 1)Trade Rhys and Peguero (maybe eat a couple million) to Arizona/NYY/NYM for a lotto prospect 2) Sign Kim 1/12-15 with a bigger option 2025 3) Trade for Nate Lowe (or Ryan Mountcastle) for Aaron Civale or 2 mid level prospects This probably depends on a few things but would sure up 1B and 3B improving defense and hopefully the offense if Kim is more 2023 than 2024. It also allows a path for our young 3B or Durbin.
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I really don't know what to make of the potential infield. Durbin really just seems like a 2B guy to me but I don't think he is that guy to move Turang yet. My guess is we add a cheaper 3B option in FA (Berti/Rojas) and if Durbin plays well for a month or two in AAA (playing 3B) he takes over 3B. If the offense is there but not quite defense we shuffle the IF next offseason.
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I think Aaron Ashby would be my second option to be closer now that he is pushed out of the rotation. I would have him be a multi inning guy or 6th starter. If he pitches like he did at the end of the year anything is an option.
- 5 replies
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- trevor megill
- joel payamps
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Competitive balance draft order set
jay87shot replied to markedman5's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
I would love to trade Peguero or Payamps for another Comp pick (probably B) and like a lotto prospect and add to that bounty. -
I would only trade Civale/Cortes for a really sweet deal at this point. I really like a rotation of Peralta, Woody, Civale, Cortes, Myers with Ashby, Hall, Misi, Patrick, Henderson, and Patrick making crazy good depth. There might not be an ace there but all of those guys can be solid #3 with upside to be #2 starters if firing on all gears. My guess is that 1 of Woody, Cortes, Civale are really good and surefire QO options, 1 is solid and an iffy QO candidate (possible trade candidate for good offer) and 1 isn't great (or injuries) and would be an easy trade candidate (if not hurt). Between the 6 non rotation guys I would guess a couple have really good years and take over a rotation spot and the swing man spot.
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I am thinking Brett Baty would be an ideal add for 3rd base especially if his value has gone down some and we aren't looking to make any huge deals after the Devin trade. I know he was rough his rookie year defensively and the bat has been iffy but there is upside there. We could send them like Peguero and Monesario maybe a lower level prospect or possiblt just Tyler Black and Baty could play some 1B and 3B.
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Are we too worried about losing Willy's power?
jay87shot replied to Playing Catch's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't think it is really replacing the HR's as mentioned before we have plenty of guys who can pick up the slack. I think the worry is having a portion of the lineup that doesn't hit many xbh in general. Turang, Chourio, Yeli, Contreras, Mitchell, Rhys, Sal, Ortiz, Durbin/Dunn That leaves like 4 spot 7-1 that aren't really threats to go deep and didn't hit a ton of 2B. If/when Mitchell gets hurt and Perkins is in that is 5 spots. Add in that the potential bench pieces like Mone and Collins don't have much power that hurts some. I am not crazy worried about it but injuries could really make it an issue. -
If it was just Frelick for Robert great but I am sure the CWS are looking for a couple Frelick style peices and more. Maybe they would take back Rhys to balance salaries?
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I like Rengifo but with the current value of starting pitching I would want a top 20 prospect back from them as well (top 20 for our system probably like top 12 from LA) I kind of like the rotation the way it is. Rengifo would be a solid get but I would much rather give up a prospect to get him instead of Civale.
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With the pitching market like this, could Cortes, Civale, and Woody all get QO if they pitch really well. Are we allowed to give multiple QO's and get picks for each? It wouldn't surprise me to see each of these guys put up 150+ innings with low 3 era's. I would say that would be better than guys like Kikuchi, Severino. Pivetta (if Pivetta gets over 50 million).
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Agree, Tucker is probably the top 2025-26 free agent. Unless the Cubs go like 12/400 I doubt Tucker resigns. Paredes should be good in Houston with his pulling ways. I thought Cam Smith was way underrated as the 14th pick and played great in 30 some games. Wesneski isn't a huge value but with starter prices he can be a solid 5 if need be or nice multi inning guy out of the pen.

