Phillies (Suarez) vs Brewers (Miley): 9/3/23, 12:05pm

[Brock Beauchamp]

I saw that a Cubs fan recently screamed on Twitter about how lucky the Brewers are. Apparently this is "unfair" or something, I'm not really sure.

[Frisbee Slider]

Ranger Suarez pitched especially well in August with 2.45 ERA in three starts. He is coming off the injured list after missing his last few starts due to hamstring strain.
 

Suarez is prone to walking batters and strikes out less than a batter per inning.

[Underachiever]

15 minutes ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

I saw that a Cubs fan recently screamed on Twitter about how lucky the Brewers are. Apparently this is "unfair" or something, I'm not really sure.

 

That’s a shame.

[Brock Beauchamp]

9 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

That’s a shame.

It's just funny. Baseball is such a luck-based game on the individual level. Yes, it's frustrating to see competition get some breaks but it never lasts forever and it's not as if the Cubs will be pushed out of the postseason because of it.

[HarryDoyle]

34 minutes ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

I saw that a Cubs fan recently screamed on Twitter about how lucky the Brewers are. Apparently this is "unfair" or something, I'm not really sure.

So what exactly are they crying about? (Yes, they was intentional.)

[LouisEly]

36 minutes ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

I saw that a Cubs fan recently screamed on Twitter about how lucky the Brewers are. Apparently this is "unfair" or something, I'm not really sure.

 

Yeah, the wind knocking down three home runs that would have given you a loss isn't luck or anything.

[Underachiever]

4 minutes ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

It's just funny. Baseball is such a luck-based game on the individual level. Yes, it's frustrating to see competition get some breaks but it never lasts forever and it's not as if the Cubs will be pushed out of the postseason because of it.

I mean, there’s luck, and there’s “game-winning hit off of the pitcher’s foot” luck. There is also no luck involved in your bullpen imploding the last two nights.

[Frisbee Slider]

The Cubs bullpen doesn’t seem good.

[treego14]

[sveumrules]

Existence is luck.

I’m no astrologomizer or anything, but I’m pretty sure if Earth was a couple two tree light years in either direction we’d either be frozen stiff or burnt to a crisp.

You think that sperm that beat all the other sperms to the egg to create each of our individual existences worked out twice a day, or knew a shortcut, or was somehow any different or better from all the other sperms? Of course not, it got lucky.

And hey, we’re all still alive. How much luck is involved in that? On a universal level one flying space rock could wipe it all out. On a global level all it takes is one megalomaniac, and lord knows there are plenty. On an individual level, how many times have we each personally dodged death? Did we only escape those precarious circumstances because of our skill and intellect, or did some amount of luck lend a helping hand in those crucial moments?

Of course luck similarly pervades baseball, it’s a feature, not a bug. Complaining about it on the internet demonstrates a fundamental misunderstanding as to how the universe (and thus, baseball) naturally unfolds. I’d expect nothing less from a Cubs fan.

[homer]

3 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

Existence is luck.

I’m no astrologomizer or anything, but I’m pretty sure if Earth was a couple two tree light years in either direction we’d either be frozen stiff or burnt to a crisp.

You think that sperm that beat all the other sperms to the egg to create each of our individual existences worked out twice a day, or knew a shortcut, or was somehow any different or better from all the other sperms? Of course not, it got lucky.

And hey, we’re all still alive. How much luck is involved in that? On a universal level one flying space rock could wipe it all out. On a global level all it takes is one megalomaniac, and lord knows there are plenty. On an individual level, how many times have we each personally dodged death? Did we only escape those precarious circumstances because of our skill and intellect, or did some amount of luck lend a helping hand in those crucial moments?

Of course luck similarly pervades baseball, it’s a feature, not a bug. Complaining about it on the internet demonstrates a fundamental misunderstanding as to how the universe (and thus, baseball) naturally unfolds. I’d expect nothing less from a Cubs fan.

Sir, this is a Wendy's.

[homer]

FYI - A couple posts about Cubs/Reds have been moved to the NL Central Discussion thread. They were not deleted.

[Brock Beauchamp]

17 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

Existence is luck.

I’m no astrologomizer or anything, but I’m pretty sure if Earth was a couple two tree light years in either direction we’d either be frozen stiff or burnt to a crisp.

You think that sperm that beat all the other sperms to the egg to create each of our individual existences worked out twice a day, or knew a shortcut, or was somehow any different or better from all the other sperms? Of course not, it got lucky.

And hey, we’re all still alive. How much luck is involved in that? On a universal level one flying space rock could wipe it all out. On a global level all it takes is one megalomaniac, and lord knows there are plenty. On an individual level, how many times have we each personally dodged death? Did we only escape those precarious circumstances because of our skill and intellect, or did some amount of luck lend a helping hand in those crucial moments?

Of course luck similarly pervades baseball, it’s a feature, not a bug. Complaining about it on the internet demonstrates a fundamental misunderstanding as to how the universe (and thus, baseball) naturally unfolds. I’d expect nothing less from a Cubs fan.

[Brock Beauchamp]

19 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

Existence is luck.

I’m no astrologomizer or anything, but I’m pretty sure if Earth was a couple two tree light years in either direction we’d either be frozen stiff or burnt to a crisp.

You think that sperm that beat all the other sperms to the egg to create each of our individual existences worked out twice a day, or knew a shortcut, or was somehow any different or better from all the other sperms? Of course not, it got lucky.

And hey, we’re all still alive. How much luck is involved in that? On a universal level one flying space rock could wipe it all out. On a global level all it takes is one megalomaniac, and lord knows there are plenty. On an individual level, how many times have we each personally dodged death? Did we only escape those precarious circumstances because of our skill and intellect, or did some amount of luck lend a helping hand in those crucial moments?

Of course luck similarly pervades baseball, it’s a feature, not a bug. Complaining about it on the internet demonstrates a fundamental misunderstanding as to how the universe (and thus, baseball) naturally unfolds. I’d expect nothing less from a Cubs fan.

[brewerfan82]

Did a little research into the Brewers against LH starters this morning...

The Brewers offense has been significantly better in games against LH starters since July 1st:

• Before July 1st: 10-15 record, averaging 2.76 runs scored/game
• Since July 1st: 7-6 record, averaging 4.08 runs scored/game

The key in the games since July 1st is getting the starter out of the game by the 6th inning:

• Games where starter goes 5 IP or fewer: 5.57 runs scored/game (2.86 against the starter and 2.71 against the relievers)
• Games where starter goes more than 5 IP: 2.33 runs scored/game (1.67 against the starter and 0.67 against the relievers)

The Phillies relievers have put up the following ERA splits for each inning:

• 4th inning - 6.55 ERA
• 5th inning - 7.71 ERA
• 6th inning - 3.00 ERA
• 7th inning - 4.01 ERA
• 8th inning - 3.85 ERA
• 9th inning - 2.93 ERA

Getting the starter out and facing those non-backend of the bullpen relievers for an extra inning or two will be key in putting up some runs today.

So let's work the count, put a crooked number on the board, and sweep these phellas!

[82brewcrew82]

Don't like this lineup at all.

[willie key]

Yelich getting a day off.    What an interesting lineup.     I really don’t like wiemer playing anymore.   

[willie key]

I believe the brewers have given up a run in the first inning for 6 or 7 straight games.   Jeez

[brewerfan82]

 

[HarryDoyle]

14 minutes ago, willie key said:

Yelich getting a day off.    What an interesting lineup.     I really don’t like wiemer playing anymore.   

Frelick has cooled off considerably and we're facing a lefty so it's really not that surprising.

[brewerfan82]

7 out of 9 players in the lineup have been average-ish to very very good against LHP this year:

Hopefully Taylor continues his more recent success (and Wiemer, Monasterio, and Caratini forget about some recent atbats)... since August 1st vs. LHP:

[Jake McKibbin]

2 hours ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

It's just funny. Baseball is such a luck-based game on the individual level. Yes, it's frustrating to see competition get some breaks but it never lasts forever and it's not as if the Cubs will be pushed out of the postseason because of it.

I ththe Cubs have been out hit in their last six games, and had a lower xBA on each match against the Brewers. Yet Milwaukee were "lucky" to win that first game

[homer]

Glad Yelich is getting a day off. His OPS has dropped about 50 points the last month.

[treego14]

[Brock Beauchamp]

12 minutes ago, homer said:

Glad Yelich is getting a day off. His OPS has dropped about 50 points the last month.

Yeah, it’s time to start giving guys days off. Once the Brewers are over 95% to win the division then it’s time to start resting as many people as possible as often as possible.