Brewers (Woodruff) vs Diamondbacks (Kelly): 7/4/26, 8:40pm

[Brock Beauchamp]

Happy Independence Day!

	MON	TUE	WED	THU	FRI	TOT
Trevor Megill	10	0	11	0	12	33
Joel Kuhnel	0	0	0	21	0	21
Jared Koenig	0	16	0	21	0	37
Grant Anderson	0	11	0	20	20	51
Garrett Stallings	0	0	0	19	0	19
Chad Patrick	21	18	0	0	34	73
Abner Uribe	0	0	5	0	17	22
Aaron Ashby	15	0	20	0	17	52

 

[TwinsBrewersWorldSeries]

God Bless America!  Let’s go Woody!

USA USA USA!

make the Brewers Great Again

[sveumrules]

There were plenty of rumblings and grumblings around each of Brandon Woodruff's last two contracts totaling $37.525M for the 2024 through 2026 seasons.

He has now made an nice even twenty starts making him one of 165 starting pitchers with at least 100 IP over the last two years. Some of his results and rankings on that leaderboard...

106.1 IP (161st) | 68 WHIP+ (1st) | 139 FB+ (1st) | 75 AVG+ (3rd) | 210 K/BB+ (3rd) | 136 K+ (11th) | 64 BB+ (18th) | 71 ERA- (18th) | 75 FIP- (21st) | 95 HR+ (67th) | 92.6 MPH average fastball (125th)

As far as things like "luck" go, Woodruff's 86 xFIP- (34th) thinks that his literal sky high 53.0% fly ball rate should be yielding more than his current 9.3% HR/FB ratio (20th). On the other hand, all the lasers and stuff over at StatCast think that Woodruff should have an expected ERA of 2.44 which is thee best in all of MLB last two years ahead of Misio (2.52), Shohei (2.63), Wheeler (2.64), Skenes (2.69), Skubal (2.84), and every other SP with at least 100 IP.

The Brewers have gone 15 W - 5 L for an easy to compute .750 W% in his twenty starts.

Has Woodruff done enough to earn his paycheck, or much like the Brewers as a whole is that wholly dependent on whatever happens or doesn't in October?