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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    I'm guessing defense wasn't factored in. At least the article didn't mention defense. Based on the 5 AAA guys, I'd imagine that OPS, HR, RBI, SB were what most of the votes were based on which ignores that the AAA hitting environment is substantially different than the other levels. Carolina League - .661 average OPS, 4.41 runs per game Midwest League - .684 average OPS, 4.42 runs per game Southern League - .664 average OPS, 4.04 runs per game International League - .763 average OPS, 5.13 runs per game Mejia had the 2nd worst wRC+ of the 5 catchers substantially behind Rodriguez, Miller, Garcia but was 1st in OPS, HR, RBI which largely just comes down to the International League being a far more offensive league than the other 3 leagues.
  2. wiguy94
    Mejia being the C is a major whiff. He wasn't even close to being the best catcher in the system. Ramon Rodriguez - 121 wRC+ Darrien Miller - 120 wRC+ David Garcia - 116 wRC+ Francisco Mejia - 103 wRC+ Matthew Wood - 102 wRC+ I'd also say Yophery not being in the OF was a pretty big whiff.
  3. wiguy94
    Here are some numbers showing just how insane Fernandomania was.
  4. wiguy94
    I think it's entirely plausible that some people are turned off by the extra movement in his swing. We've seen over and over again players with unorthodox swings do well in the lower levels but as you get closer to the MLB they begin to struggle. There's also questions about how high his ceiling is and prospect lists will almost always defer to ceilings especially for prospects in the low minors. I have Areinamo #20 on my list with the only position players ahead of him as Quero, Made, Pratt, Yophery, Black, Payne, Boeve, Adames, Bitonti, Wilken. I gave Wilken the benefit of the doubt for his rough season, but outside of Wilken, I don't know how you can have Areinamo over any of those other position players.
  5. wiguy94
    Typically plate discipline improves with age so in that sense Lara should be alright. I mean Frelick hadn't even played a professional game at Lara's age and Lara just spent an entire season at A+
  6. wiguy94
    He basically just can't hit LHP outside of Coors which is the only downside to him in addition to his pricier contract. I can easily see him being a 3 WAR player if you limit his PA against LHP and get him out of Coors. I know everyone always assumes that Coors is a hitter's paradise and it is, but it's not considered enough that Rockies hitters play half their games in a park where pitches move differently than the other 29 parks in the MLB which isn't exactly ideal.
  7. wiguy94
    Need to keep in mind Bregman is also a FA. If Astros re-sign him then that takes them out of the running. Yankees might not want to take on more salary if they bring back Soto considering he probably gets over $500M. If it comes down to Royals, Tigers, Brewers then I definitely could see all 3 teams wanting the Rockies to eat a bit of salary.
  8. wiguy94
    Saying McMahon is Monasterio offensively is so wrong. Outside Coors the last 4 seasons these are McMahon's underlying numbers. .240/.324/.417 expected slash, .324 xwOBA, 91.1 Avg EV, 46.4% hard hit rate, 9.9% barrel rate Monasterio's numbers in his MLB career. .238/.318/.366 expected slash, .304 xwOBA, 88.6 Avg EV, 35.9% hard hit rate, 6.6% barrel rate McMahon's numbers outside Coors the last 4 years look even better against RHP. .250/.338/.455 expected slash, .344 xwOBA, 92 Avg EV, 47.9% hard hit rate, 12.3% barrel rate McMahon has crushed RHP outside Coors the last 2 years .247/.342/.461 actual slash, .347 wOBA .269/.361/.514 expected slash, .375 xwOBA, 92.3 Avg EV, 48.3% hard hit rate, 15.3% barrel rate
  9. wiguy94
    I don't see many teams that could use McMahon as much as us. Especially good teams. Here are teams who finished above .500 where McMahon would be an upgrade: Yankees, Astros, Royals, Detroit (depends on if they want Vierling to be a full time 3B), Seattle.
  10. wiguy94
    Volume certainly helps but look at Rivera's cWPA compared to the Top 10 in saves all time. Rivera was about as untouchable as it gets in the playoffs.
  11. wiguy94
    I mean it's getting off two-thirds of his contract and getting a decent prospect haul in return. I don't see why a team looking to get off salary wouldn't entertain that.
  12. wiguy94
    They ate $50M when they traded Arenado. Don't know why they wouldn't eat $15M to get a better return for McMahon.
  13. wiguy94
    Yes please. Black + 2 secondary pieces for McMahon with the Rockies eating $15M of the $44M guaranteed to McMahon over the next 3 seasons.
  14. wiguy94
    10/19 AFL update (apologize in advance for the wall of text) Brock Wilken went 0-3 with a BB, SO and was picked off 90 EV, -12 LA reached on an error 103 EV, 32 LA flyout Juan Baez went 1-3 with a R and SO 75.5 EV, 15 LA single 96 EV, -3 LA groundout Luis Lara went 1-3 HR, RBI, R and SO 98 EV, 24 LA home run 88 EV, 8 LA groundout Ryan Birchard went 2.1 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 5 BB, 5 SO with a wild pitch. 63 pitches, 34 strikes, 48% whiff rate, 32% CSW, 51% zone rate. 26 FB - 93.9mph, 2215rpm, 20 IVB, 7 HM, 5 whiffs, 3 called strikes, 38% whiff rate, 31% CSW 19 SL - 82.5mph, 2587rpm, 1.7 IVB, 16.7 HM, 3 whiffs, 2 called strikes, 50% whiff rate, 26% CSW 11 Cutter - 87.8mph, 2404rpm, 6.6 IVB, 4.5 HM, 3 whiffs, 2 called strikes, 50% whiff rate, 45% CSW 7 Curveball - 78.8mph, 2602rpm, -15.9 IVB, 7.3 HM, 2 whiffs, 0 CS, 100% whiff rate, 32% CSW Will Childers went 1.2 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 SO. 30 pitches, 16 strikes, 67% whiff rate, 40% CSW, 37% zone rate. 16 FB - 95.0mph, 2391rpm, 17.8 IVB, 4.9 HM, 5 whiffs, 3 called strikes, 100% whiff rate, 50% CSW 8 Cutter - 87.1mph, 2477rpm, 0.9 IVB, 3.5 HM, 3 whiffs, 0 called strikes, 38% whiff rate, 38% CSW 6 SL - 84.1mph, 2512rpm, -7.5 IVB, 3.8 HM, 0 whiffs, 1 called strike, 0 whiff rate, 17% CSW Mark Manfredi went 0.1 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 SO. 5 pitches, 3 strikes, 60% CSW, 80% zone rate 4 Sinker - 92.9mph, 2422rpm, 16.5 IVB, 10.5 HM, 0 whiffs, 3 called strikes, 75% CSW 1 SL - 85.8mph, 2350rpm, 4 IVB, 1 HM, 0 whiffs, 0 called strikes, 0 CSW
  15. wiguy94
    Yankees have 2 generationally good hitters on their roster. Among players with at least 4000 career PA, Juan Soto's 158 wRC+ is 12th all time and Judge's 173 wRC+ is 3rd all time. I honestly cannot imagine how big his contract will be this offseason being a 26 year old FA. I'm thinking 12/$420M might even undersell him. He might get $500M.
  16. wiguy94
    Stanton hitting a ball 446ft with a 19 LA is just insane stuff.
  17. wiguy94
    Dodgers just totally punting the game today by leaving Flaherty in there to get shelled is crazy in a playoff game.
  18. wiguy94
    If we just go by xwOBA by week in September. 9/1-9/7 - .355 xwOBA 9/8-9/14 - .405 xwOBA 9/15-9/21 - .355 xwOBA 9/22-9/28 - .282 xwOBA
  19. wiguy94
    Contreras also did not have a bad September. 124 wRC+ for the month. 148 wRC+ the final 3 weeks. 133 wRC+ the final 2 weeks. 68 wRC+ the final week. So this idea he had a bad last few weeks is totally fictional.
  20. wiguy94
    Hell no the Brewers should not sign Austin Hedges. This can't be serious. A 12 pitcher staff is just not remotely feasible for an entire season. Please do better.
  21. wiguy94
    Fangraphs sorts by positions not overall. The link I showed comes directly from the Fielding Bible website. Don't believe me, here's Varsho's individual page on Fangraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/daulton-varsho/19918/stats?position=OF
  22. wiguy94
    Turang's 22 DRS was 3rd in the MLB behind Varsho's 28 and Duran's 23 per Fielding Bible's website: https://archive.fieldingbible.com/DRSLeaderboard
  23. wiguy94
    I say send Black plus a couple smaller prospects to Colorado for McMahon with the Rockies eating about $15M of his future salary. He has some good pop. Has hit RHP really well outside of Coors the last few years. He's an elite defensive 3B with positional flexibility to also play 1B.
  24. wiguy94
    Elvis Peguero still has another option year according to Fangraphs.
  25. wiguy94
    The young player to trade is Tyler Black. Send him and a couple other pieces to Colorado for McMahon with the Rockies retaining about 33% of his remaining salary.
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