Opening Day Roster Predictions

[CheeseheadInQC]

4 minutes ago, markedman5 said:

I get that…..but why not just option them to Nashville? Leaving options open just in case something happens?

They aren’t on the 40-man. Anyone not on the 40-man who doesn’t make the team just gets sent to minor league camp.

[StearnsFTW]

On 3/13/2024 at 3:58 PM, Brewcrew82 said:

Chourio about to enter top 5? 

Almost everyone on that list is at least an all star along with a lot of HOFers.

 

[Outlander]

Benji Gil sure stands out but yes everybody else was at least an All-Star. Not a bad floor for Chourio.

[duewizard]

6 hours ago, markedman5 said:

I get that…..but why not just option them to Nashville? Leaving options open just in case something happens?

They are not in the 40 man. All NRIs. No need to option

[jay87shot]

What about the idea of sending Joey Ortiz to AAA, if I remember correctly he doesn't need a ton of time in AAA to gain an extra year of control. If Sal is going to play alot of 3rd and Turang is the 2B starter it makes a lot of sense to have Ortiz in AAA and Andruw in the bigs for the 1st month. I am not a huge fan of arbitration manipulation but as a small market team it is something we need to do when it makes sense.

[markedman5]

 

[brewmann04]

Kinda figured that about those two.

[Ro Mueller]

So the Brewers really only have two Opening Day decisions left, I think:

- keep two (max 1 pitcher) of Haase, Perkins, Hudson, Bukauskas

 

[wiguy94]

16 minutes ago, damuelle said:

So the Brewers really only have two Opening Day decisions left, I think:

- keep two (max 1 pitcher) of Haase, Perkins, Hudson, Bukauskas

 

Is this assuming Vieira has a roster spot?

[Ro Mueller]

4 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

Is this assuming Vieira has a roster spot?

Yeah. I’m assuming we won’t be willing to DFA Vieira (or Bauers).

Of course, there’s also the possibility of putting Sanchez (or some more surprising player) on the injured list. And we could sign Clevinger!

[Ro Mueller]

21 hours ago, wiguy94 said:

Is this assuming Vieira has a roster spot?

Update: 

 

[Ro Mueller]

Gary Sanchez has caught 17 innings over the past 3 days. It seems reasonable to say he’s ready for Opening Day.

[TURBO]

So, I think it is safe to assume that Wiemer will not start on the opening day roster, but is Mitchell a lock?

Yelich, Chourio, Frelick and Mitchell?  If Mitchell is on the opening day roster, I think it's pretty important that he gets to play on a regular basis. 

I'm sure Yelich will DH a game a week, Sal might get a start or two at 3B, so that leaves what, 3 starts a week for Mitchell?  That's not enough...   Will Yelich DH 2 times a week, upping Mitchell's playing time to 4 games a week?

Will Chourio get a day off a week?  Not a fan of that either...

I know there are other scenarios, but I think that Sal, Mitchell and Chourio need to play every day with the occasional day off.

[igor67]

If you view an off day as a likely pinch hit day. Then each OFer gets 1 day off per week, but it is only costing them about 3 ABs. Throw in playing another position (DH or 3B for Yelich and Frelick) and I think it's pretty easy to get Mitchell 4 starts per week plus some pinch hitting and I think that is a solid mix of regular playing time for everyone plus some breather for the long season. I get that equaling about 480 PAs for Mitchel and only 3 Brewers last year had more than 500 so that seems pretty close to full time in the modern game. It's also flexible enough of an arrangement that you can get to that number a bunch of ways for how those off days are lined-up to play match-ups.

[nate82]

4 minutes ago, TURBO said:

So, I think it is safe to assume that Wiemer will not start on the opening day roster, but is Mitchell a lock?

Yelich, Chourio, Frelick and Mitchell?  If Mitchell is on the opening day roster, I think it's pretty important that he gets to play on a regular basis. 

I'm sure Yelich will DH a game a week, Sal might get a start or two at 3B, so that leaves what, 3 starts a week for Mitchell?  That's not enough...   Will Yelich DH 2 times a week, upping Mitchell's playing time to 4 games a week?

Will Chourio get a day off a week?  Not a fan of that either...

I know there are other scenarios, but I think that Sal, Mitchell and Chourio need to play every day with the occasional day off.

Someone is going to need a day off here and there.  I think the daily starting OF will be Chourio/Mitchell in CF with Yelich in LF and Frelick/Chourio in RF.  Then when Yelich is the DH Chourio, Mitchell and Frelick will be starting in the OF which is about 50 games.  You only need to find about another 100 games for the other part of the equation.  So lets go conservative here and say Frelick gets about 30 games at 3B that means you only need about another 70 games from him to play in the OF to get to 150 games and the same for Chourio and Mitchell.  Chourio and Mitchell will probably get one or two games at DH also.  Lets say that is just one game for each at DH.

It is not that difficult to get to 150 games played for Chourio, Frelick and Mitchell.  I think Mitchell gets about 3 games a week starting in the OF and 1 game where he is used as a pinch hitter.  Also games are not really all that important it is PA's that are far more important and I believe there are plenty of PA's to go around for Chourio, Frelick and Mitchell to get about 450 PA's each which is about 140-150 games played.

[wiguy94]

41 minutes ago, TURBO said:

So, I think it is safe to assume that Wiemer will not start on the opening day roster, but is Mitchell a lock?

Yelich, Chourio, Frelick and Mitchell?  If Mitchell is on the opening day roster, I think it's pretty important that he gets to play on a regular basis. 

I'm sure Yelich will DH a game a week, Sal might get a start or two at 3B, so that leaves what, 3 starts a week for Mitchell?  That's not enough...   Will Yelich DH 2 times a week, upping Mitchell's playing time to 4 games a week?

Will Chourio get a day off a week?  Not a fan of that either...

I know there are other scenarios, but I think that Sal, Mitchell and Chourio need to play every day with the occasional day off.

Wiemer was already optioned to AAA so yes he's not on the opening day roster. Mitchell seems like a lock according to Hogg as the starting CF with Chourio in RF and Frelick at 3B.

[TURBO]

6 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

Wiemer was already optioned to AAA so yes he's not on the opening day roster. Mitchell seems like a lock according to Hogg as the starting CF with Chourio in RF and Frelick at 3B.

I'm just not buying Frelick as a full time 3B.  I don't see it happening, in fact, what I see happening is after several bad errors/mistakes, they rethink this decision, and he goes back to the outfield on a regular basis.

I want nothing more than to be wrong, but I just don't think you can take a guy who has only played OF since high school, and turn him into a MLB 3B during spring training.  

[RedStickBrew]

23 minutes ago, TURBO said:

I'm just not buying Frelick as a full time 3B.  I don't see it happening, in fact, what I see happening is after several bad errors/mistakes, they rethink this decision, and he goes back to the outfield on a regular basis.

I want nothing more than to be wrong, but I just don't think you can take a guy who has only played OF since high school, and turn him into a MLB 3B during spring training.  

This 3rd base situation has me thinking that Brock Wilken might appear on the MLB roster sooner than many expect. 

[TURBO]

25 minutes ago, RedStickBrew said:

This 3rd base situation has me thinking that Brock Wilken might appear on the MLB roster sooner than many expect. 

I fully agree.  Originally, I was hoping just after the all star break, but it could be a lot sooner than that!

[liveforoctober]

On 3/19/2024 at 3:05 PM, StearnsFTW said:

Almost everyone on that list is at least an all star along with a lot of HOFers.

 

So Robin Yount is #1, #3, and #16 on the list of youngest players on an opening day roster since 1974?

That is easily my new favorite stat on that guy.

[Ro Mueller]

If Bryan Hudson is in (congrats to him), it likely means that Bukauskas is out (to be optioned to AAA).

It also likely kills any idea of starting the season with 14 position players and 12 pitchers (like when Ji-Man Choi made the OD roster in 2018), setting up a big Haase vs. Perkins (or maybe an Ortiz, Monasterio or Bauers surprise) decision. 

 

[wibadgers23]

 

[duewizard]

14 hours ago, TURBO said:

I'm just not buying Frelick as a full time 3B.  I don't see it happening, in fact, what I see happening is after several bad errors/mistakes, they rethink this decision, and he goes back to the outfield on a regular basis.

I want nothing more than to be wrong, but I just don't think you can take a guy who has only played OF since high school, and turn him into a MLB 3B during spring training.  

Murphy said yesterday on TV that he is not moving to 3B permanently. He might play there once a week but he is not the new 3B. 

[markedman5]

 

[markedman5]

Mitchell can’t catch a break