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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Eighteen games over .500 and an eight game division lead are both season highs. A win today would give the Brewers their first six game winning streak of the year.
  2. sveumrules
    Some impressive starting pitching performances tonight… DSL-1 Lukas Gonzalez 4.2 IP | 0 ER | 1 H | 3 BB | 3 K CAR Bryan Rivera 6.0 IP | 0 ER | 2 H | 1 BB | 9 K BIL KC Hunt 5.1 IP | 1 ER | 3 H | 0 BB | 8 K NAS Carlos Rodriguez 6.1 IP | 0 ER | 3 H | 2 BB | 5 K Not a start, but Christopher Peralta went 3.0 IP | 0 ER | 3 H | 1 BB | 1 K in relief to pick up the win for DSL-2.
  3. sveumrules
    From 2016-22 Brewers pitchers were pretty good at beating their peripherals with a cumulative 3.94 ERA | 4.10 FIP. Their -0.16 gap was 4th best in MLB over that stretch and shook out to 102.8 fWAR (8th) and 116.2 rWAR (7th). The defense chipping in +182 DRS (6th) no doubt helped. Over the last two years they’ve taken things to a whole new level or three. In 2023 it was a 3.73 ERA | 4.21 FIP (-0.48), so far this year it’s a 3.77 ERA | 4.37 FIP (-0.60). Together over the last two years they are at a 3.74 ERA | 4.28 FIP (-0.54) with the second best FIP beating team NYY down at 3.89 ERA | 4.24 FIP (-0.35). The gap between the Brewers and Yankees in 1st/2nd is the same as the gap between the Yankees in 2nd down to NYM/TOR in 7th/8th. Put it all together since 2023 and the Brewers 23.1 fWAR ranks 19th while their 39.9 rWAR ranks 1st, as in thee very best in baseball (by a couple decimal points). Again, the defense notching +102 DRS (2nd) has been a huge factor in this whole Run Prevention Unit thing.
  4. sveumrules
    Yeah, hopefully he’s back to feeling a little healthier after that hammy. pre-injury (156 PA) 233/340/474 (127 wRC+) post-injury (158 PA) 193/268/350 (71 wRC+) since 0726 (50 PA) 341/380/659 (178 wRC+) Recent hot streak has raised his wRC+ from 99 on 0724 to 110 today, working back up towards his 126 career mark entering the season.
  5. sveumrules
    Nice to see Contreras making better swing decisions and Murphy giving him more regular DH games. Small samples, but one reason I think they’re keeping Haase around (besides to be the backup C next year) is that the Brewers are 5 W - 4 L in his nine starts behind the plate compared to 6 W - 13 L when Sanchez is back there. Even crazier is that Sanchez has raked to the tune of 135 wRC+ when catching versus a lowly 45 wRC+ when DH-ing, yet they’ve gone 15 W - 9 L in those Gary DH games.
  6. sveumrules
    At least one Swanson is having a good summer anyway. I tried finding out if Dansby was somehow part of the Swanson TV Dinner bloodline at one point, and apparently his dad’s name is Cooter.
  7. sveumrules
    If you wanna feel really old Gomez & Lucroy are still only 38 & have been retired for five and three years, respectively. ⚰️🪦
  8. sveumrules
    Brewers now a half game behind the Dodgers for the #2 seed, compared to seven games ahead of the Cardinals for the NLC lead.
  9. sveumrules
    Yeah, for me FIP/xFIP are more of a jumping off point than a final verdict, but also probably the best we have for communicating the most important statistical information in a quick and dirty fashion. Looks like Myers 4.59 FIP is mostly on account of that uugly 1.81 HR9, but xFIP understands HR rate is fluky so he comes in with a much better 3.75 mark there which is 6th in the sample. He’s obviously showing some promise as a FIP beater in MLB too at 3.02 ERA | 4.40 FIP so far. Manuel’s 3.7 BB% is first by a decent margin in the sample with Meeker second at 6.2%, but he just doesn’t K enough guys and allows too many HR for FIP’s tastes. It also doesn’t know that he threw all those innings super efficiently as a not even really exaggerating boy among men either. Looks like Manuel is the most extreme fly ball pitcher in the sample as well at 47.7% which is an encouraging trait for a potential FIP beating profile. Something else kind of interesting is despite the low 20.1 K% (23rd), Manuel’s 15.6 SwStr% is 3rd in the sample.
  10. sveumrules
    Here’s a fun list. There are thirty one Brewers minor league pitchers with at least 100 IP from 2023 through yesterday. Merkel is at 3.23 xFIP (3rd) | 3.36 FIP (3rd) | 1.08 WHIP (4th) | 15.5 SwStr% (4th) | .208 AVG (5th) | 28.5 K% (5th) | 7.6 BB% (8th) | 3.78 ERA (9th) | 0.76 HR9 (10th) Looks like his killer is a 64.9 LOB% (28th) which is probably why his ERA hasn’t quite lived up to the peripherals.
  11. sveumrules
    Figueroa went one two three in the eighth with another strikeout before Tyler Bryant worked around a trio of walks to put up a zero (1 K) in the ninth to seal the 7 to 4 TRats victory. Pratt finished 3 for 5 with a double and steal, Jadher 2 for 4 with a double and sac fly.
  12. sveumrules
    Brock Wilken singled home Dylan O’Rae for the 11th Biloxi run top of eight. Nick Merkel covered the last two innings scoreless (3 H | 0 BB | 4 K) to put the finishing touches on the 11 to 1 win.
  13. sveumrules
    A Jheremy Vargas sac fly scored Jadher Areinamo to give Wisco a 7 to 4 lead through seven. Jeferson Figueroa has gone seven up six down with just an HBP and errant pickoff throw against 2 K.
  14. sveumrules
    Biloxi must be watching the Big League club and taking notes. Just poured on five more top of six with a Connor Scott three run homer accounting for 60% of those runs.
  15. sveumrules
    Skipped the hit and went straight for the run top of nine. Miguel Briceno walked, went to second on an error, then to third on a Yophery fielder’s choice, then home on a wild pitch. Juan Baez has subsequently walked bringing Bitont to the dish with two outs to go.
  16. sveumrules
    The Plank Walker? Because it falls off suddenly? And his name is Yoho kind of like what a pirate says about his bottle of rum?
  17. sveumrules
    He tried to sign up for the free trial with MarkAttanasio69 (at) HotMale (dot) com, but it was already registered… …by me.
  18. sveumrules
    Biloxi went blue dot city top of five with a Mike Boeve single, Darrien Miller HBP and Connor Scott walk loading em up for the Lamar Sparks grand slam. 5 to 0 Shuckers through five with Kuehner up to 10 K now.
  19. sveumrules
    Rob Z with a 27 pitch rehab inning. Worked around a single and two walks to put up a zero (1 K).
  20. sveumrules
    Filippo Di Turi leadoff walk, perfect game averted. Now for that hit…
  21. sveumrules
    If I mention the Mudcats have gone twenty one up twenty one down on the internet they’ll stop doing that, right? Anthony Flores has thrown two more scoreless hitless frames with 1 BB | 2 K while Brailin Rodriguez also went 1.1 scoreless hitless with 1 BB | 3 K.
  22. sveumrules
    Wisco leading 6 to 4 bottom of four with Will Rudy trying to work out of a two on one out jam. Cooper Pratt with a single, double and run scored so far while Felix Valerio has walked twice, stolen a bag, and both scored & “driven” in a run. Jesus Chirinos also has one each in the hit, walk, run scored and RBI columns.
  23. sveumrules
    Shuckers picked up the lone run of the game so far top of two on a Lamar Sparks double, Ethan Murray HBP, Casey Martin single sequence. Tate Kuehner has gone four scoreless with 1 H | 3 BB | 8 K so far.
  24. sveumrules
    Lotsa similarities (dominant defense, bullpen and RISP), but also a couple decent sized differences between the Brewers and Guardians this year. For as bad as many think the Brewers rotation might be with a 101 ERA- (14th) and 7.6 rWAR (16th), the Guardians rotation actually has been that bad and then some with a 114 ERA- (27th) and 4.4 rWAR (27th). Brewers offense has also been a scooch better with a 109 wRC+ (9th) and 4.89 R/G (7th) versus a 102 wRC+ (13th) and 4.65 R/G (12th) for the Guardians. Royals & Twins both went 12 W - 1 L against the White Sox, but Guardians are only 5 W - 5 L so far. Not cashing in on all those free wins could be a huge swing if Cleveland ends up losing the division. Twins kind of control their own destiny with eight games left against the Guardians, but are O W - 5 L against CLE in their first five meetings so are gonna need to close it out strong. The Royals have fared better against CLE at 4 W - 2 L, but have come up short head to head against MIN at 2 W - 5 L.
  25. sveumrules
    If you go through his game log from the start of the season there have been four pretty distinct periods for Jackson so far this year... Solid Start (0329 to 0410) 43 PA | 7.0 BB% | 30.2 K% 282/326/462 (117 wRC+) The Learning Curve (0411 to 0601) 133 PA | 5.3 BB% | 26.3 K% 184/227/280 (41 wRC+) Figuring It Out (0602 to 0714) 124 PA | 8.9 BB% | 17.7 K% 295/355/473 (129 wRC+) HE'S ON FIRE !! (0720 to 0808) 74 PA | 2.7 BB% | 13.5 K% 408/432/662 (206 wRC+)
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