Brewers (Henderson) vs Twins (Prielipp): 5/16/26, 6:10pm

[Frisbee Slider]

25-year-old lefthander Connor Prielipp, a Tomah, Wisconsin native, takes the mound for Minnesota in his fifth career start. His numbers look solid on the surface, though a .196 BABIP suggests some good fortune.

Logan Henderson makes his fourth start of the season. Henderson's 2.10 FIP is better than his 4.15 ERA to start the season. 

[Frisbee Slider]

[ELCABALLO45]

Brewers going to go 43 for 43 on having a different line up?

[willie key]

I honestly want Ashby to win like 27 games this year.    Would be one of those all time baseball anomalies 

[willie key]

19 minutes ago, ELCABALLO45 said:

Brewers going to go 43 for 43 on having a different line up?

I don’t understand what this means.    Does that mean that they haven’t had the same lineup on back to back to days or they haven’t had the same lineup construction in any of the 43 games?     I can’t believe that should be true?

[brewerfan82]

49 minutes ago, willie key said:

I don’t understand what this means.    Does that mean that they haven’t had the same lineup on back to back to days or they haven’t had the same lineup construction in any of the 43 games?     I can’t believe that should be true?

Pretty sure it's that they haven't had the same lineup construction in any game yet. It sounds crazy, but apparently once you factor in injuries, lefty/righty matchups, rotating guys into the DH spot, moving guys around due to being hot or cold, and resting/giving guys playing time in general, the average team goes through like 120 different lineup combos in a season.

[liveforoctober]

1 hour ago, willie key said:

I don’t understand what this means.    Does that mean that they haven’t had the same lineup on back to back to days or they haven’t had the same lineup construction in any of the 43 games?     I can’t believe that should be true?

Very true and a fun side game to monitor.

He must be stressing though, because his pieces got a little more permanent with Chourio and Vaughn coming back. Bringing up Baddoo could buy him another week and then Yeli hasn't played with Vaughn and Chourio really so you can tinker with that for a bit. We would have to call up Jett to get us to the trade deadline and then get in some new blood to make it to end of season call ups. It won't be easy to run the table but I believe in him. He isn't manager of the year for no reason.

[sveumrules]

Let's say you wanted to assemble a top flight reliever.

You'd probably want somebody who strikes out a bunch of guys, throws a bunch of grounders to limit home runs in today's oftentimes all or nothing game, and then strands the base runners that do manage to reach in the meantime.

As it turns out, there are 133 pitchers with at least 100 relief IP going back to the start of 2024 with Aaron Ashby coming in at a 141 K+ (15th), 142 GB+ (6th), 29 HR+ (3rd), and 118 LOB+ (2nd).

Of the fourteen pitchers with a higher K rate the next highest ground ball rates are Andres Munoz (150 K+ | 121 GB+) and Griffin Jax (151 K+ | 118 GB+). Among the ground ball rate leaders the next best K rates belong to Jhoan Duran (151 GB+ | 131 K+), Brendan Little (154 GB+ | 115 K+), and Camilo Doval (133 GB+ | 122 K+). Some other guys a little further down the K/GB combo list over that same stretch would be Abner (127 K+ | 121 GB+), Louis Varland (121 K+ | 124 GB+), and Adrian Morejon (116 K+ | 124 GB+).

Put it all together and Ashby's 57 FIP- is fourth on leaderboard behind Aroldis Chapman, Mason Miller, and Cade Smith while his 47 ERA- is second on the leaderboard behind only Emmanuel Clase.

[liveforoctober]

16 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

Let's say you wanted to assemble a top flight reliever.

You'd probably want somebody who strikes out a bunch of guys, throws a bunch of grounders to limit home runs in today's oftentimes all or nothing game, and then strands the base runners that do manage to reach in the meantime.

As it turns out, there are 133 pitchers with at least 100 relief IP going back to the start of 2024 with Aaron Ashby coming in at a 141 K+ (15th), 142 GB+ (6th), 29 HR+ (3rd), and 118 LOB+ (2nd).

Of the fourteen pitchers with a higher K rate the next highest ground ball rates are Andres Munoz (150 K+ | 121 GB+) and Griffin Jax (151 K+ | 118 GB+). Among the ground ball rate leaders the next best K rates belong to Jhoan Duran (151 GB+ | 131 K+), Brendan Little (154 GB+ | 115 K+), and Camilo Doval (133 GB+ | 122 K+). Some other guys a little further down the K/GB combo list over that same stretch would be Abner (127 K+ | 121 GB+), Louis Varland (121 K+ | 124 GB+), and Adrian Morejon (116 K+ | 124 GB+).

Put it all together and Ashby's 57 FIP- is fourth on leaderboard behind Aroldis Chapman, Mason Miller, and Cade Smith while his 47 ERA- is second on the leaderboard behind only Emmanuel Clase.

https://x.com/OptaSTATS/status/2055636642640056655?s=20

Sorry I thought that link would embed...

"After Friday night, the @Brewers' Aaron Ashby now has 8 wins this year - all in relief. No one else in MLB has more than 6 wins. It's the first time in the modern era a pitcher had at least 2 more relief wins than any other MLB pitcher had total wins at the end of any given day."

[Jim French Stepstool]

1 hour ago, sveumrules said:

Let's say you wanted to assemble a top flight reliever.

You'd probably want somebody who strikes out a bunch of guys, throws a bunch of grounders to limit home runs in today's oftentimes all or nothing game, and then strands the base runners that do manage to reach in the meantime.

As it turns out, there are 133 pitchers with at least 100 relief IP going back to the start of 2024 with Aaron Ashby coming in at a 141 K+ (15th), 142 GB+ (6th), 29 HR+ (3rd), and 118 LOB+ (2nd).

Of the fourteen pitchers with a higher K rate the next highest ground ball rates are Andres Munoz (150 K+ | 121 GB+) and Griffin Jax (151 K+ | 118 GB+). Among the ground ball rate leaders the next best K rates belong to Jhoan Duran (151 GB+ | 131 K+), Brendan Little (154 GB+ | 115 K+), and Camilo Doval (133 GB+ | 122 K+). Some other guys a little further down the K/GB combo list over that same stretch would be Abner (127 K+ | 121 GB+), Louis Varland (121 K+ | 124 GB+), and Adrian Morejon (116 K+ | 124 GB+).

Put it all together and Ashby's 57 FIP- is fourth on leaderboard behind Aroldis Chapman, Mason Miller, and Cade Smith while his 47 ERA- is second on the leaderboard behind only Emmanuel Clase.

Plus, many times when he enters the game the offense feels compelled to put his team in the lead. You can't put a price tag on that.

[Jim French Stepstool]

I'm guessing Blake Perkins in playing today in place of either Mitchell or Frelick, which makes sense given the numbers. His splits are Grand Canyon-wide though, so if Minny switches hands in an important situation he should be lifted. In the recesses of his mind, I wonder if he's given any thought to going RH-only.

A career OPS over 1.000 hitting RH vs RHP (5PAs). What's the guy waiting for?

[cragi]

there might be something to this strategy of having him pitch 162 games

[wiguy94]

2 minutes ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

I'm guessing Blake Perkins in playing today in place of either Mitchell or Frelick, which makes sense given the numbers. His splits are Grand Canyon-wide though, so if Minny switches hands in an important situation he should be lifted. In the recesses of his mind, I wonder if he's given any thought to going RH-only.

A career OPS over 1.000 hitting RH vs RHP (5PAs). What's the guy waiting for?

Definitely seems like it might be time to consider switching to hitting right handed full time. 

As a RHH - .237/.315/.361 expected slash, .303 xwOBA, 10% BB-rate, 17% K-rate, 89 Avg EV, 40% hard hit rate, 6% barrel rate, 20% whiff rate

As a LHH - .193/.286/.287 expected slash, .262 xwOBA, 11% BB-rate, 31% K-rate, 88 Avg EV, 35% hard hit rate, 3% barrel rate, 30% whiff rate

And as his big league career as gone on he's only gotten better hitting right handed and worse hitting left handed so the current splits are more extreme than these.

[liveforoctober]

 

Interesting! Congrats to Strzelecki on getting back to the bigs. He was my dark horse to make the team out of ST to balance out the bullpen..

[markedman5]

24 minutes ago, liveforoctober said:

 

Interesting! Congrats to Strzelecki on getting back to the bigs. He was my dark horse to make the team out of ST to balance out the bullpen..

So Pete is up for depth tonight…….and then likely gets DFA  tomorrow 

 

[Bulldogboy]

Brewers shuttle pitching for one day at a time never to be short but carry Yelich for a week injured and short on the bench. I will never understand this. 

[Outlander]

Having Yelich available to hit is worth more than Crow on the roster guaranteed to do nothing. Strz can save the bullpen some on ngs in a blowout. 

[folly412]

Could have Yelich halfway through another IL stint by now.  

Cool to have Strzelecki back again, but agree that it seems like a short stay unless they're going to keep him over Woodford.  Makes you think not, otherwise it would probably be Yoho coming up.

Also, when are we calling up two way phenom Ethan Murray? https://www.mlb.com/milb/nashville/news/ethan-murray-walks-off-iowa-for-first-win-as-a-pitcher

Just say the T-rats box score...oof.  And Priester's contribution to it...double oof.  Good thing we have SP depth, cause it's not looking good to see him for awhile yet.

[edfunderburk]

Is Yelich available to pinch hit today? If not, why is he not on the IL? And finally, when he “thinks” he is healthy, send him to Nashville for a few days to make sure. 

[edfunderburk]

1 hour ago, folly412 said:

Could have Yelich halfway through another IL stint by now.  

Cool to have Strzelecki back again, but agree that it seems like a short stay unless they're going to keep him over Woodford.  Makes you think not, otherwise it would probably be Yoho coming up.

Also, when are we calling up two way phenom Ethan Murray? https://www.mlb.com/milb/nashville/news/ethan-murray-walks-off-iowa-for-first-win-as-a-pitcher

Just say the T-rats box score...oof.  And Priester's contribution to it...double oof.  Good thing we have SP depth, cause it's not looking good to see him for awhile yet.

Apparently, Priester needs to have surgery. That’s terribly disappointing but he looks horrible right now.
 

Hopefully, he “suddenly” & “miraculously” turns a corner & contributes for the Brewers this year, but he looks injured in every outing so far. I see zero progress. 

[HarryDoyle]

Sanchez should be fined every time he challenges a pitch whether he's correct or not.

[adambr2]

Sanchez, man. Enough with the bad challenges this year.

[adambr2]

Masterful job by Logan.

[adambr2]

Just now, HarryDoyle said:

Sanchez should be fined every time he challenges a pitch whether he's correct or not.

Given the situation, I would have been forgivable if the pitch was close. It wasn’t.

[duewizard]

What a job by Henderson to get out of it