Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

sveumrules

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,786

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    210

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Blake Snell's first year in MLB was 2016. With 1,096 career IP he is one of only 41 pitchers to throw at least 1,000 innings since then. Now of course you got 2020 in there gumming up the works somewhat when it comes to comparing against past workloads, but let's just give it to these modern day pitchers as kind of an extra credit as it were. So if we look at the eight full seasons prior to 2016 (2008-15), there were 71 pitchers to throw at least 1,000 IP. Move it back to the eight full seasons prior to that (2000-07) and there were 83 hurlers who clocked at least 1,000 IP. At this rate I'd probably put the over under on "pitchers to throw at least 1,000 IP from 2025-32" somewhere around two dozen.
  2. sveumrules
    Problem was that they played at the Celtics on an a B2B, at Memphis (6th in netRTG), and two super tight games against the scorching Cavs which was more or less four automatic losses in their first seven games and bloodthirsty haters took the opportunity to pounce. Throw in another at New York on a B2B plus a second Celtics game and six of the Bucks nine losses on the season to this point are perfectly reasonable. Sure, there were two ugly losses in there against the Bulls and Nets in the 2nd and 3rd games of the season too, but since they subbed AJax into the starting lineup and the schedule has evened out a bit they've been a completely different team by both the numbers and eye test.
  3. sveumrules
    Yeah, it was only 35 IP but Duplantier shoved to the tune of a 3.15 FIP | 3.57 ERA during his Dodgers stint to end the season, mostly in the PCL. Oliva opened his career with 1,215 PAs of 120 wRC+ between A-AA from 2017-19, but got derailed at the pandemic and followed with 923 PAs of an underwhelming 91 wRC+ in AAA from 2021-23, before bouncing back to the tune of a 138 wRC+ with 37 SB / 3 CS over 248 PAs back down in AA last year. Maybe it was just a small sample of man amongst boy type stuff, but I’d imagine the Brewers saw something(s) they liked on the scouting side too.
  4. sveumrules
    Yeah, Rengifo is absolutely brutal afield... 2B (2,460 inn.) -9 DRS | -12 FRV 3B (850 inn.) +1 DRS | -8 FRV SS (625 inn.) -5 DRS | -9 FRV Would imagine that disqualifies him for consideration in the Brewers run prevention scheme.
  5. sveumrules
    One reason might just be to do right by the player. Instead of adding him to the 40 Man and then dealing him to whichever team offered the best marginal return, Carlos and his agent can decide for themselves which landing spot gives him the best chance at an MLB future.
  6. sveumrules
    Three more turnovers and only ten points allowed for the mediocre D today.
  7. sveumrules
    Last time we saw Khris he put up 24.7 PPG | 9.2 RPG | 4.7 APG on 48% shooting in the playoffs while playing eleven minutes per game over his season average. He's always had an old man's game that wasn't overly reliant on athleticism so I'm fine with them slow rolling him back in hopes it increases his chances of being healthy and ready to go come playoff time.
  8. sveumrules
    Some team level stats from their recent turnaround... First Ten Games (2 W - 8 L) 110.6 oRTG (19th) 115.7 dRTG (22nd) -5.1 netRTG (22nd) Last Seven Games (6 W - 1 L) 115.4 oRTG (9th) 108.1 dRTG (8th) +7.3 netRTG (6th)
  9. sveumrules
    Giannis has looked much more confident from the midrange in the early going this year. Obviously small sample but he is shooting 53.8% from 10 to 16 feet versus a 36.7% career average at that distance. From 16 feet out to the three point line he is at 49.1% so far compared to 36.8% for his career at that range. Has also upped his attempts big time here from 7.2% of his FGAs last year to 16.0% so far this year.
  10. sveumrules
    Crazy idea definitely. Profar played zero innings at 2B last year, one inning in 2023, zero in 2022, 59 in 2021 and 138 in 2020. The last time he got regular playing time at 2B waz in 2019 when he put up -20 DRS | -5 FRV over 1,024 innings. He’s been brutal in LF the last two years too at -19 DRS | -18 FRV.
  11. sveumrules
    Bucks improve to 2 W - 0 L in the Emirates Cup with their win tonight over last year’s arch nemesis Pacers squad. If they can pull off the B2B against the Hornets that would put them on the precipice of .500 heading into their third Emirates Cup game in Miami on TUE.
  12. sveumrules
    From MLBTR… “The Athletic’s Britt Ghiroli reports that 18 teams expressed interest in signing Rodriguez. That sheds light on why the Braves needed to offer him a 40-man spot to sweeten the deal.”
  13. sveumrules
    It's interesting to consider what the future of Ohtani could look like. For as amazing as he's been he hasn't double peaked yet... 2021 (8.9 tWAR) 3.9 pWAR | 5.0 hWAR 2022 (9.8 tWAR) 6.2 pWAR | 3.6 hWAR 2023 (10.3 tWAR) 3.8 pWAR | 6.5 hWAR 2024 (9.1 tWAR) 0.0 pWAR | 9.1 hWAR Over his four prime MLB seasons his worst as a batter has coincided with his best as a pitcher (2022) and vice versa (2024). He could conceivably approach a 15 WAR season if he double peaked. One thing holding him back from cracking nine WAR as hitter again is I would guess he runs less in future seasons once he's back to pitching and he got essentially a whole extra win on the bases this year (+9.8 BsR) compared to a combined +7.0 BsR from 2017-23. So the big question is how much might he be able to pitch moving forward? From ages 18 to 21 in Japan he put up 80, 155, 162 and 140 IP for a total of 537 innings. From ages 22 to 25 between Japan and the USA he threw 79 combined innings around his first TJ and other injuries. From ages 26 to 28 he came in with 428 IP (50th over that stretch) with an 82 AVG+ (3rd) | 138 K%+ (4th) | 67 ERA- (4th) | 75 FIP- (9th) | 13.9 rWAR (6th) | 10.9 fWAR (11th) before the second TJ. My best guess for his thirties would be another couple two tree years as a starter before maybe transitioning into a closer role to try and extend his lifespan as a pitcher.
  14. sveumrules
    For whatever it is or isn’t worth StatCast park factors has Citizens Bank ever so slightly more HR friendly than AmFam at 115 to 114 so he likely wouldn’t get much of a stadium boost coming to MKE.
  15. sveumrules
    I hope so. Guess, if anyone was going to troll the MOY vote it would be KLaw.
  16. sveumrules
    Patrick Wisdom and Keston Hiura is a pretty fun comparison. Among 425 players with at least 1,000 PAs since Patrtick's debut in 2018 they come in at a 163 K%+ (Wisdom) and a 160 K%+ (Hiura) which are the 3rd and 6th highest marks in the sample. They both strike out at epic rates, so why does Wisdom have an extra 389 PAs for his career and a whopping 895 more PAs than Hiura since 2021? For one, Patrick walks more (103 to 81 on BB%+) and hit for way more power when he does connect (154 to 121 on ISO+). For two, as bad as Wisdom in the field with a combined -16 DRS over 2,863 innings at 3B/1B/OF for his career, Keston comes in at -17 DRS in only 1,237 innings at 2B.
  17. sveumrules
    Looked up the votes and it was…drumroll please…Keith Law.
  18. sveumrules
    Bohm blossomed for one month last year with a 184 wRC+ and 1.8 WAR in April followed by a 96 wRC+ (way more in line with his 103 career mark) and 1.7 WAR from May thru the end of the year. His September was particularly brutal with a 37 wRC+. Williams has 9.3 rWAR and +14.24 WPA for his career. Bohm has 7.7 WAR. Looking at the last two years, even with the missed time, Devin still comes in at 4.3 rWAR and +6.18 WPA compared to 5.0 WAR for Alec. Phillies are also rumored to be in on Bregman which could free them up to move Bohm. Ultimately the math comes down to two years of Bohm projected for about 5.0 WAR total at say around $20M in Arby’s is something like $30M in excess value at $10M per win. In his last two full seasons Devin put up +3.46 and +4.09 WPA. If you value him at 3.5 wins with an $8M award in Arby’s that comes out to $27M in excess value.
  19. sveumrules
    I counted three miracles.
  20. sveumrules
    My divvying up of starts for the current Brewers position players would be something like... Ca: Contreras (100) Haase (31) Quero (31 as late season call up) 1B: Hoskins (100) Black (62) 2B: Turang (108) Monasterio (54) SS: Ortiz (135) Turang (27) 3B: NEW GUY (135) Frelick (27) LF: Chourio (120) Yelich (42) CF: Mitchell (120) Perkins (42) RF: Frelick (90) Perkins (37) Chourio (35) DH: Yelich (80) Contreras (45) Hoskins (20) Black (17) Just need to figure out who that NEW GUY is gonna be and hopefully improve the backup IF as well to upgrade on the Monasterio spot and help ensure Murphy keeps Frelick on the OF grass.
  21. sveumrules
    Not sure how they handle deferred money either, like I'm pretty sure Braun is still getting $2M annually for another half decade or so, think Cain is at $1M each for a few more years. Garza, Lohse, and Aramis all appear to have been paid in full at this point.
  22. sveumrules
    We'll never forget you, Brent. With only day of service time and six innings pitched I believe Chris Saenz retains rookie eligibility.
  23. sveumrules
    Bears had an extra 12:40 in time of possession and ran twenty five more plays than the Packers, but it only resulted in twenty five additional yards and one fewer point. Gotta be pretty frustrating.
  24. sveumrules
    MLBTR predicted 2/36. Median at FanGraphs was 3/54. Ben Clemens predicted 5/90 which seems pretty nuts but some interesting notes from his profile in the FG Top 50 FAs article… “Oh yeah, and he hasn’t turned 28 yet...I’m a lot less worried about one of the youngest free agents on the market – the youngest other than Soto, in fact” ”Over the All-Star break, he shored up his swing at a Tampa hitting facility that he co-owns; Statcast’s bat tracking data tells us he shortened his swing slightly, added a bit of bat speed and tapped into his fast swing more frequently, improving his quality of contact. He hit .292/.361/.419 (124 wRC+) in the second half while cutting his strikeout rate from 22.6% to 17.5%, and thrived upon being restored to the leadoff role; from August 16 onward, he hit .313/.386/.454. His 142 wRC+ in that span surpassed even teammate Juan Soto, and he carried that momentum into October.” As far as the Brewers are concerned, I would guess they won’t have much interest even if Gleyber comes in on the lower end of the predicted contracts. Among 26 second basemen with at least 1,000 innings the last two years Gleyber comes in at -15 DRS | 24th and -8 FRV | 23rd.
  25. sveumrules
    Maybe SM or JZ can provide more on the scouting side but Hayden Robinson (2023 round 14) had a nice run in Arizona with 26 K | 7 BB over 18.2 IP of 2.41 ERA work before going on the injured list. His last two outings were particularly impressive at a combined 8 IP | 1 ER | 3 H | 1 BB | 1 HBP | 16 K Believe this highlight reel from Brewers PD was the only real look we got before he went down…
×
×
  • Create New...