Brewers (Harrison) vs Cubs (Cabrera): 5/20/26, 6:40pm

[Frisbee Slider]

Edward Cabrera started the season with 11.2 scoreless innings for Chicago. Since then, he has allowed three earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. The other start, he allowed five earned runs. 

Kyle Harrison has allowed a .323 BABIP this season, which is higher than his career average. Interestingly, Harrison has pitched better in his two starts with Sánchez behind the plate than the six with Contreras.

 

[Frisbee Slider]

[BarremlensTSSC]

 

[BarremlensTSSC]

The more I think about it the more I suspect that the relatively short leash for Mis last night was probably directly related to the fact that his velocity, while still incredible, but down a touch from what he's been doing this year.  I don't think it's concerning or anything, but it was probably a data point that played a role in that call along with the rested pen.

[Frisbee Slider]

19 minutes ago, BarremlensTSSC said:

The more I think about it the more I suspect that the relatively short leash for Mis last night was probably directly related to the fact that his velocity, while still incredible, but down a touch from what he's been doing this year.  I don't think it's concerning or anything, but it was probably a data point that played a role in that call along with the rested pen.

Murphy said Miz was tired after six innings, too. Opening comments from post game interview.

 

[sveumrules]

After 46 games last year the Brewers were 21 W - 25 L sitting six games out of first place with a -10 run differential.

Since then, the Brewers 104 W - 58 L record is the best in baseball with the Yankees in 2nd at 98 W - 69 L, while the Cubs and Dodgers are tied for the next spots at 94 W - 71 L.

Over these past 162 games here are some of the Brewers ranks...

POSITION PLAYERS
845 R (1st) | .263 AVG (1st) | .340 OBP (1st) | .145 ISO (25th)
111 wRC+ (2nd) | +10.7 BsR (1st) | 19.8 K% (3rd) | 0.49 BB/K (1st)
6.9 Barrel% (28th) | 39.2 HardHit% (23rd) | .329 wOBA (2nd)

PITCHERS
593 R (1st) | 3.33 ERA (1st) | 3.55 xERA (1st) | 3.61 FIP (1st)
25.3 K% (1st) | 0.94 HR9 (1st) | .223 AVG (2nd) | 1.19 WHIP (2nd)
76.0 LOB% (2nd) | -0.28 ERA/FIP (5th) | 37.9 HardHit% (1st)

[long ball]

1 hour ago, sveumrules said:

After 46 games last year the Brewers were 21 W - 25 L sitting six games out of first place with a -10 run differential.

Since then, the Brewers 104 W - 58 L record is the best in baseball with the Yankees in 2nd at 98 W - 69 L, while the Cubs and Dodgers are tied for the next spots at 94 W - 71 L.

Over these past 162 games here are some of the Brewers ranks...

POSITION PLAYERS
845 R (1st) | .263 AVG (1st) | .340 OBP (1st) | .145 ISO (25th)
111 wRC+ (2nd) | +10.7 BsR (1st) | 19.8 K% (3rd) | 0.49 BB/K (1st)
6.9 Barrel% (28th) | 39.2 HardHit% (23rd) | .329 wOBA (2nd)

PITCHERS
593 R (1st) | 3.33 ERA (1st) | 3.55 xERA (1st) | 3.61 FIP (1st)
25.3 K% (1st) | 0.94 HR9 (1st) | .223 AVG (2nd) | 1.19 WHIP (2nd)
76.0 LOB% (2nd) | -0.28 ERA/FIP (5th) | 37.9 HardHit% (1st)

So we are first in wins. First in runs scored. First in ERA? Seems good. 

[Brian]

1 hour ago, Frisbee Slider said:

Murphy said Miz was tired after six innings, too. Opening comments from post game interview.

 

If Miz's velo is down: Miz seems a little on the hyper side with the "more, more, more mentality" and the 4 separate cramping incidences already definitely needs to be addressed. The summer heat isn't even here yet and leg problems will lead to arm problems. 

[Playing Catch]

8 minutes ago, Brian said:

If Miz's velo is down: Miz seems a little on the hyper side with the "more, more, more mentality" and the 4 separate cramping incidences already definitely needs to be addressed. The summer heat isn't even here yet and leg problems will lead to arm problems. 

I'm not at all worried about the velocity yesterday, what with the soft mound. While I have no proof that the mound was actually softer, I have no doubt that every single road game, the grounds-crew have conversations with team personnel about ideal dirt moisture/grass length for the series.

I'm also not worried about the leg cramps, yet. It's been reported that Miz has been pumping a lot of iron. I suspect the cramping is related.

He also looked as relaxed as I've ever seen him yesterday. Maybe he just woke up really tired.

Lots of plausible scenarios that aren't accompanied with klaxons and flashing lights.

[mudbutt]

He also had to throw a ton pitches in the first inning after the Hamilton error and then had to immediately go out there for the second inning after the bottom of the lineup put up a quick dreadful performance.

[igor67]

Load management is almost certainly going to be a thing as well as the season goes on, so would I rather have him throw that 1 more inning now or in October and then decision makes a lot of sense. In the moment I certainly wanted him to go out for 1 more, but I have no issue with the decision not to force it. Hopefully we have another good RISP game today and can use the back end guys to mop up the sweep.

[Underachiever]

1 hour ago, sveumrules said:

After 46 games last year the Brewers were 21 W - 25 L sitting six games out of first place with a -10 run differential.

That 46th game last year was the cribbage board game! It all turned around after that.

[HarveysWBs]

Yeah, I read Miz’s comments after the game that the mound played a role in the velocity stuff and that nobody in the building was worried about it. So that’s a relief. I think it’s good for him to continue working on the art of pitching, which includes how to handle having less than your A-level velo, and also how to handle preparation, listening to your body, and big moments in hostile environments. He was aces on all that stuff yesterday, and what else can you say about him at this point? He’s going to struggle for a stretch eventually, and seeing how he responds is really the last hurdle (that and maybe learning how to go deeper in games, but that’s also a structure of the game problem and not entirely under his control).

As for today, I hope there are some boots on some north-side necks. They have a chance to go +3 on the season series against a major rival and the biggest threat in the division, and I hope they can do just that.

[markedman5]

Another start for Gasser and giving Miz an extra day apparently 

 

[Frisbee Slider]

6 minutes ago, markedman5 said:

Another start for Gasser and giving Miz an extra day apparently 

 

What an interesting group of three pitchers to face Los Angeles 🙂

[long ball]

8 minutes ago, markedman5 said:

Another start for Gasser and giving Miz an extra day apparently 

 

Makes all the sense in the world to just keep with the 5 man rotation rather than keep certain guys on 4 days rest. There will be plenty of opportunities for them to go on 4 days rest last in the season.

Gasser getting the start makes sense since we need the 5th guy and the only heakthy guys who could get that start are Crow (in the minors and can’t be recalled without a being an injury replacement) and Patrick/Drohan who seem to be bullpen guys for now. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Patrick or Drohan follow Gasser on Saturday though. 

[Jim French Stepstool]

1 hour ago, long ball said:

Makes all the sense in the world to just keep with the 5 man rotation rather than keep certain guys on 4 days rest. There will be plenty of opportunities for them to go on 4 days rest last in the season.

Gasser getting the start makes sense since we need the 5th guy and the only heakthy guys who could get that start are Crow (in the minors and can’t be recalled without a being an injury replacement) and Patrick/Drohan who seem to be bullpen guys for now. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Patrick or Drohan follow Gasser on Saturday though. 

On Sunday Gasser had next to no command with his secondary pitches, which he absolutely needs, yet still never totally blew up & I thought showed some pretty good poise under the circumstances. The only person who seemed to severely hurt him w/the bat was Clemens in the L/L matchup. Always a tough ask when facing LA but looking forward to seeing what he can do with better sweeper/change location.

[RobertCrawley]

[BarremlensTSSC]

3 hours ago, Brian said:

If Miz's velo is down: Miz seems a little on the hyper side with the "more, more, more mentality" and the 4 separate cramping incidences already definitely needs to be addressed. The summer heat isn't even here yet and leg problems will lead to arm problems. 

I mean... is it down to go from peaks of 103.6 in prior starts to just over 101? That's why I was hesitant to even bring it up at first.  Instead of having more velocity than any starter in MLB history his velocity was merely extraordinary.  I don't know.  It's lower. They said he was tired after 6 innings  I guess I'm just going to tuck those things away in my brain and probably nothing will come of it

[Underachiever]

2 hours ago, markedman5 said:

Another start for Gasser and giving Miz an extra day apparently 

 

Harrison, Henderson, Gasser and Sproat? Not the rotation I expected this year.

[JCREW]

3 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

Harrison, Henderson, Gasser and Sproat? Not the rotation I expected this year.

I wonder i̶f̶ w̶e̶ c̶o̶u̶l̶d̶ b̶e̶ s̶u̶c̶c̶e̶s̶s̶f̶u̶l̶  how many times we will be using Woody every third time through the order and just having him go on the IL in between starts. 

[wiguy94]

Wind is blowing in hard tonight.

 

[Brian]

30 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

Harrison, Henderson, Gasser and Sproat? Not the rotation I expected this year.

I know, all the old guys are gone or hurt.  I see Jose Quintana is still hummin' along. 

https://www.mlb.com/player/jose-quintana-500779 

 

[titanrick]

I'd feel much better replacing Gasser with Crow in that list, but that's just a heaping dose of recency bias.  And I would think Crow will be back up as soon as the rules allow.  Hopefully, Gasser can put his last start behind him!

[HarryDoyle]

So, can someone explain to me why, with 30% of the season done, a team that had Chourio, Vaughn and Yelich all miss at least one month to injury and Priester all season and a third of our lineup that can't hit their way out of a paper bag is in first place ahead of a team that has two separate 10 game winning streaks and twice the payroll?