Brandon Woodruff - Heyman: Woody accepts qualifying offer 1 yr/ $22million

[Team Canada]

Kiley projects 2/$25: https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/46859761/mlb-2025-2026-top-50-free-agents-rankings-contract-projections

Lower than I might have expected, but I'd absolutely be up for that. If he's right, then there's no way the Brewers extend a QO.

[RobertCrawley]

4 minutes ago, Team Canada said:

Kiley projects 2/$25: https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/46859761/mlb-2025-2026-top-50-free-agents-rankings-contract-projections

Lower than I might have expected, but I'd absolutely be up for that. If he's right, then there's no way the Brewers extend a QO.

Maybe we make a run at Zac Gallen and let Hook fix his curve ball. 

[LouisEly]

3 hours ago, MrTPlush said:

If they don’t I am going to assume there was a handshake agreement to not do so when he signed that deal.

 

The Brewers know his medicals better than anybody.

If they don't extend a QO, my guess is it isn't because of a handshake agreement.  

[owbc]

3 hours ago, LouisEly said:

The Brewers know his medicals better than anybody.

If they don't extend a QO, my guess is it isn't because of a handshake agreement.  

Our knowledge of his medicals gives us a big advantage (assuming the prognosis is favorable). 

But if we extend a 2 year offer and he shops it around, it may signal to other teams that we feel good about his medicals. So I think he comes back to the Brewers because he's happy here and he's willing to take a slight discount -- unless somebody blows him away with something that we can't come close to matching. 

[LouisEly]

45 minutes ago, owbc said:

But if we extend a 2 year offer and he shops it around, it may signal to other teams that we feel good about his medicals.

I can almost guarantee that any contract offer comes with an attached NDA.  

Maybe what you mean by "shops around" is "seeks other offers", but I highly doubt that he can tell other clubs whether or not he has an offer from MIL.  They may be able to generically say, "we have an offer from another team", but I doubt that they can say anything more specific than that.

[wiguy94]

5 hours ago, Team Canada said:

Kiley projects 2/$25: https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/46859761/mlb-2025-2026-top-50-free-agents-rankings-contract-projections

Lower than I might have expected, but I'd absolutely be up for that. If he's right, then there's no way the Brewers extend a QO.

Predictions for him seem to be all over the place.

Baseball America predicted 1/$27.5

Kiley predicted 2/$25M

Clemens predicted 2/$34M

Think we will have a better feel for which way it goes when the Brewers either offer Woodruff a QO or not. Guess we will find out in the next 90-ish minutes.

[markedman5]

 

[BrewerFan]

7 hours ago, Team Canada said:

Kiley projects 2/$25: https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/46859761/mlb-2025-2026-top-50-free-agents-rankings-contract-projections

Lower than I might have expected, but I'd absolutely be up for that. If he's right, then there's no way the Brewers extend a QO.

I think some of these are... a bit silly. 

Michael Soroka 2/23, Grisham... who hit under .200 4/90? 

 

[markedman5]

6 minutes ago, BrewerFan said:

I think some of these are... a bit silly. 

Michael Soroka 2/23, Grisham... who hit under .200 4/90? 

 

Grisham hit 235 ……with 34 homers

I take no position on if the projection is silly or not

[tmwiese55]

8 minutes ago, BrewerFan said:

I think some of these are... a bit silly. 

Michael Soroka 2/23, Grisham... who hit under .200 4/90? 

 

Well Grisham's stats this year were very good.   But yea, I don't want to be the team banking thats the real him rather than the 2-3 years prior while taking him away from the RF porch in NY.  Plays good D though, I'd assume he and yanks know its best he just stays there

And if now there is multiple predictions on Woodruff in the 2/35-40 area that's a good sign for him staying and working something out.   Just when we've seen such blah old/washed guy for years still getting 15-20 per I think he'll get better than those predictions above.   1 year prove it type thing here could be in play though if those guesses are accurate-ish

[BrewerFan]

On 11/5/2025 at 4:03 PM, Jopal78 said:

People also forget Woodruff missed a huge chunk of the ‘23 season with a different shoulder injury before tearing the capsule and rotator cuff and has made it to 30 starts just once in his career. 

Who forgets that? That directly led to the shoulder injury and surgery. I don't think people have forgotten about that. 

 

[BrewerFan]

3 minutes ago, markedman5 said:

Grisham hit 235 ……with 34 homers

I take no position on if the projection is silly or not

Under .200 the previous 3 years. 

I'm just saying... 4/90 for a good defender who is probably going to hit closer to .200? 

 

But, I do think Tucker will get 500M and that would have seemed absolutely insane to me just 2 years ago. Tucker's great. He's a 5 tool guy... 500M?

[owbc]

2 hours ago, LouisEly said:

I can almost guarantee that any contract offer comes with an attached NDA.  

Maybe what you mean by "shops around" is "seeks other offers", but I highly doubt that he can tell other clubs whether or not he has an offer from MIL.  They may be able to generically say, "we have an offer from another team", but I doubt that they can say anything more specific than that.

Is that true? I’m pretty sure they take specific numbers back for counter offers. They may not disclose details but presumably they negotiate in good faith. 

[Outlander]

Hoping Woodruff declines and gets a contract $50 million or higher from somebody in the AL. 

[markedman5]

https://www.mlb.com/brewers/news/brandon-woodruff-receives-qualifying-offer-from-brewers

MILWAUKEE -- Three days after declining his mutual option, the Brewers extended a qualifying offer to Brandon Woodruff on Thursday in a move that could extend the right-hander’s run as the organization’s longest-tenured player or net the team a premium Draft pick if he moves on.

The qualifying offer for 2026 is $22.025 million. Woodruff, who was drafted by the Brewers in 2014 and made his Major League debut in ‘17, can either accept the offer and return to the Brewers at that salary on the one-year deal, or decline it and seek more as a free agent.

[OldSchoolSnapper]

2 hours ago, wiguy94 said:

Predictions for him seem to be all over the place.

Baseball America predicted 1/$27.5

Kiley predicted 2/$25M

Clemens predicted 2/$34M

Think we will have a better feel for which way it goes when the Brewers either offer Woodruff a QO or not. Guess we will find out in the next 90-ish minutes.

BrewerFanatic.com projects 1/$5m...

[torts]

So he declines to get a QO worth more, which would be hilarious/awesome if he accepts 🤣

[RobertCrawley]

6 minutes ago, torts said:

So he declines to get a QO worth more, which would be hilarious/awesome if he accepts 🤣

The baseball contractual system is a bundle of weird.

[umphrey]

Honestly can’t believe he got the QO. Hope they are prepared in case he accepts. 

[BrewerFan]

10 minutes ago, umphrey said:

Honestly can’t believe he got the QO. Hope they are prepared in case he accepts. 

They have to have. They aren't just rolling the dice on 22M.

[liveforoctober]

22 minutes ago, umphrey said:

Honestly can’t believe he got the QO. Hope they are prepared in case he accepts. 

So my understanding is he gets the $10mil from the buyout regardless... So if he accepts the QO he will be making $32mil next year in total?

If he doesn't get a multi year offer from anyone and the best he is offered is something like 1/$25m... I can see him taking the $3mil cut to stay here where we will win and he is comfortable.

With a lockout looming.. any multi-year offer that provides more security would be a no brainer for him to grab.

[torts]

3 minutes ago, liveforoctober said:

So my understanding is he gets the $10mil from the buyout regardless... So if he accepts the QO he will be making $32mil next year in total?

If he doesn't get a multi year offer from anyone and the best he is offered is something like 1/$25m... I can see him taking the $3mil cut to stay here where we will win and he is comfortable.

With a lockout looming.. any multi-year offer that provides more security would be a no brainer for him to grab.

He's totally staying if he's going to make 32 million in a year

[rickh150]

Crazy offer…move on.

[Jopal78]

3 hours ago, BrewerFan said:

Under .200 the previous 3 years. 

I'm just saying... 4/90 for a good defender who is probably going to hit closer to .200? 

 

 

Sure he hit .235 but his OBP was .348 and his slugging was .464. Away from Yankee Stadium he was a monster in ‘25 .269/.367/.537.

Grisham would have lead the Brewers in slugging and homers in 25. He plays CF and won’t be 30 until the 2027 season.

Predicting contract length is hard, but Grisham is more than likely  closer to 20 million AAV than 15 (Hoskins older and coming off a major injury  got 17 mil AAV with the Brewers) as refernced in the above projection . 

[wiguy94]

11 minutes ago, Jopal78 said:

Sure he hit .235 but his OBP was .348 and his slugging was .464. Away from Yankee Stadium he was a monster in ‘25 .269/.367/.537.

Grisham would have lead the Brewers in slugging and homers in 25. He plays CF and won’t be 30 until the 2027 season.

Predicting contract length is hard, but Grisham is more than likely  closer to 20 million AAV than 15 (Hoskins older and coming off a major injury  got 17 mil AAV with the Brewers) as refernced in the above projection . 

Brewers would not consider Grisham a CF anymore. He’s really fallen off defensively. -11 DRS and -3 FRV in CF this year and his sprint speed is all the way down to 32nd percentile over 2 ft/sec lower than in his gold glove seasons.