Season Predictions Thread

[wallus]

Record: 89-73

Playoffs: Yes, wild card. Lose in NLCS

MVP: Jackson Chourio. He will start to be more selective at the plate and that will turn him into an all-star

Team Cy Young: Kyle Harrison. His new pitch with better coaching and a better defense equals a great starter.

ROY: Jett Williams will be an impact player that will be needed this season.

Most Surprising Player: Jake Bauers. I am falling for the meaningful improvements, hopefully it is real.

Most Disappointing Player: Christian Yelich. I think his decline will begin this season unfortunately. I hope Murph keeps him out of the outfield and lets someone else DH against LHP.

[Trail]

95 wins.  Ya, that sounds a bit bullish, but I just don't see many places where there should be regression.  Maybe Frelick, but I don't think it will be that much.  Losing Freddy will certainly hurt, but Woodruff should be present all year (managed carefully) and they have great depth.  I'm assuming here that Priester comes back and is effective.  Contrares has all his digits working, Yelich is a year older but confident in his health (also managed carefully), first base looks upgraded, and shortstop can only get better (offensively).  Bullpen looks very deep and very solid.  What they've done with starting pitching depth is really impressive.  It might take some time to determine who really works out at the major league level, but they'll have 5 strong starters after the sorting...with others waiting.  Miz should be better, too...and we'll have him for the whole year.  Very excited to see which version of Bauers we have, and how Chourio develops.  The real wild card?....what if Mitchell finally finds some of that potential?  Think about the lineup if that happens...

Injuries are always the unknown, and I think the bottom of the division will be tougher...but I actually see a better, deeper Brewers team this year.  Its just hard to predict OVER 97 wins.  

[adambr2]

Talent-wise, looks like about an 83 win roster to me.

So, 96-66 or so is probably about right.

[Brewcrew82]

Record: 90-72

Postseason: Yes. WC, but win first Pennant since 1982 as Dodgers get taken out in the NLDS.

CY Young: Mis. Control improves year to year again. Posts 3.35 ERA over 140 innings but gets around 180 Ks. 

MVP: Tie between Contreras and Chourio. Can’t pick one. Think both are primed for huge years. Chourio his 3rd year in will take a leap to hit close to 30 HRs and Contreras with a healthy thumb and heading into a contract year will have a prime season at the plate while catching basically everyday.  5+ WAR seasons for both.

ROY: Sproat. Tempted to pick the other part of the Freddy trade in Jett who I think ends up starting at 3B sooner than later, but I can’t get over how good Sproat’s stuff and command have looked in spring.

Surprising Player: Jake Bauers easily. I think he’ll have a 120 wRC+ type season and play a lot more OF than we think as I don’t think Vaughn is going to have a huge regression either.

Disappointing Player: Also easy with Mitchell. You know he’ll get injured again, and even when he’s in the lineup it won’t be pretty as he’s going to strike out a ton and hit the ball on the ground mostly when he does put it in play. 

[wntrtxn21]

87-75..... Fight it out for the last wild card. Win in the first round and lose the next. Too many weak spots in the lineup to be a serious W.S. contender.  Woody is not looking good so far with the major dip in velocity, so the young pitchers have to perform right from the start.

[long ball]

Record: 94 wins

Playoffs: win division, lose DS

Team MVP: Turang

Team CY: Misiorowski, I think he separates himself from the other inexperienced starters we have on the staff

Team ROY: Sproat

Surprise: Rengifo, I don’t expect him to be an allstar or anything but I think he holds down the primary job at third all year with 400+ PA with a 110 OPS+

Disappointment: Frelick, nothing horrible, just single digit homers and an OPS+ in the 90s. 

[brewers4eric]

87-75, which should be enough to get a wild card.  

Freddy Peralta was a known quantity.  They accumulated pitching depth with the moves they made this offseason but it will take several weeks to get the options for the starting rotation sorted out.  We've got the market cornered on lefty relievers and we'll need the length that Ashby and Hall provide early in the season.  With Uribe, Zerpa, Koenig and Megill we can play a five inning game.  

Garrett Mitchell didn't have a homerun when he was healthy last year.  An injury to one of the middle infielders could expose our lack of depth if Jett Williams isn't ready.  The lineup is similar to last year.  I'm hopeful that Turang and Frelick will continue to develop. 

Time to wake up and smell the tailgate.  Go Brewers.  

[Ewitkows1]

93 wins . Win the division by 3 games. Lose on NLCS. 

[RobDeer 45]

Boy..... this is a tough one.  I'm pessimistic when I throw out season long predictions.  Mainly I don't want to get my hopes up too high.  The roster is young and there are still a lot of question marks.  If I didn't know better I'd be thinking lower 80s wins.  But Murphy gets his guys to play together as a team and they steal wins they maybe shouldn't get.  Those add up.  Also, I have to trust the front office.  We might have questions at certain spots, but they consistently do a good job of filling those holes.  So I'm going to got 88 wins on the season.

 

edit: adding my other predictions before the opener

Playoffs: Yes, Wild Card

MVP:  Churio. I think he takes his game to the next level and he already seems like he has the clutch gene.

Team Cy Young: Miz. I believe he has the attitude and ability to be the man. We’ve seen flashes of it.

ROY: Sproat

Most Surprising Player: Mitchell gets a close full season in and shows what he can do. Gives the team a big boost. Man I hope I’m right on this one.

Most Disappointing Player: C Rengifo. People pile on him as their most hated player and he’s out mid year. 

[RightFieldCoder]

88-74.

[Underachiever]

91-71. Should win the division, but definitely be good enough for a WC if not.

[duewizard]

87-75. Should be enough for the playoffs.

MVP: Chourio

CY: Miz

ROY: One of the pitchers (Gasser/Hendo/Sproat)

Surprising player: Joey-O. I think he can bounce back and be at least average.

Disappointment: Mitchell (injuries) or Vaugh (cant repeat last year's magic)

[ErnieRilesBrianGiles]

95-67. 

MVP: Contreras

CY: Woodruff

ROY: Gasser

Surprising: Joey O

Disappointing: Fifo

This will be the "Year of the guys who will not be with the Crew in 2027."

[Roderick]

90-72

Compared to last year:

Improved:  Contreras, SS, Turang, Chourio

Close to last year:  3B, 1B (in total for the season), Frelick

Down:  Yelich, won't get .779 OPS of Collins, starting rotation is going to take a lot of lumps until they get it locked in

[nate82]

Record: 90-72

Playoffs: Yes as a wild card and lose in the NLCS to the Dodgers this time 4-1

MVP: Turang

Team CY Young: Sproat

ROY: Williams and he takes over as the starting SS for Ortiz in May

Surprise: Black becomes a useful bench bat and occasional starter at 2B, 1B, DH and OF

Disappointing: Megill turns into Turnbow 2.0

Trade: Brewers trade Yelich, Knoth and Coleman Crow to the Padres for Cronenworth.  This is a money saving move for the Brewers.  

[titletownking]

Thought about this for a bit, 97-65. I think the way that the Brewers pitching , specifically the late end bullpen can be utilized in close games will lead the Brewers to win the Central. 

[brooks_quichenick]

91-71, make playoffs

MVP: Jackson Chourio

CY: Chad Patrick

ROY: Jett Williams

Surprising player: David Hamilton

Disappointment: Trevor Megill

[bensheeps]

89-73, good enough to get into the playoffs

MVP: William Contreras

CY: Kyle Harrison

ROY: Brandon Sproat

Surprising player: Mitchell stays healthy enough to put up decent numbers in CF.  Don't know if it counts as a surprise, but Bauers continues to hit and thus continues to find spots in the lineup

Disappointment: Koenig regresses but Zerpa picks up the slack so that few notice

[Brewin]

Record: 90-72, make playoffs as WC

MVP: Turang

Cy; Uribe

ROY: Gasser

Surprise Player: Ortiz improves to slightly above league average

Disappointing: Mitchell still can't stay healthy

Due to Uribe's success, Trevor Megill is traded at the trade deadline 

[MDCrew]

Record: 91-71

Lose in NLCS

MVP: Turang

CY: Zerpa

ROY: Sproat

Surprise player: Bauers 

disappointment: Koenig or Megill

[Playing Catch]

Record: 91-71

Playoffs: Yes. Cubs win the division with 95 wins. Brewers the 2nd Wild Card. Tough NL. Tough NL Central.

MVP: Contreras has a huge season, finishing top-5 in MVP votes.

Team Cy Young: Shared between Misiorowski, Patrick, and Sproat. They will be the top 3 IP leaders.

ROY: None. Wilken will come up with the first infield injury and he'll struggle. BUT! Andrew Fischer will start at third base in the Wild Card game after a dynamite September.

Most Surprising Player: Gasser will come up by May and will dominate June/July before fading late.

Most Disappointing Player: The 3rd Outfielder. None of Mitchell, Lockridge, or Jett Williams will perform well enough, Perkins gets too much playing time. Brewers make a surprising deadline move for the Rockies' Brenton Doyle. Prospect Luis Pena will get reps in CF starting mid-August.

[CheezWizHed]

I'm in on 90 wins and our firs WS victory.  Team starts slow and comes on strong at the end.

Contreras bounces back after his finger heals with a top5 MVP vote.  Chourio makes the first of many all-star appearances and Turang gets back in the GG game. 

[Samurai Bucky]

Last year, I thought they would have low 80's I don't think that will be the case this year.

I'm going to go for 92 wins.  I think their offense will be better and their pitching is better.  They seem to have good depth.  

[Lathund]

Record: 92-70

Playoffs: Yes, NLC winner. No team in the division will be truly bad, so the records will be fairly closely clustered together. 

MVP: Jake Bauers. It's more of a breakout than MVP, since I don't think he'll play enough. But he'll have the highest wRC+ on the team (min. 100 PA). 

Team Cy Young: Kyle Harrison.

ROY: Brandon Sproat. 

Most Surprising Player: Joey Ortiz. Won't be surprising to me, but with how people have written him off, an above average offensive season alongside excellent defense will be a surprise to many. 

Most Disappointing Player: Luis Rengifo. He's OK as a stop gap, but I think his defense and general lack of production will mean a short side platoon/PH role only. My other candidate would be Yelich. 

[Fear The Chorizo]

94 wins.  I'd go higher, but besides a good Cub team I think the rest of the division has gotten better, too...the race will be more competitive.

 

My MVP is Turang - I think he is poised to have a monster year at the plate and his defense anchors the team.

 

Despite trading away Freddy, pitching appears to be unbelievably deep and talented.  Assuming good health, I have Gasser or Woody as my Cys, even though Miz will also have a really good year - i just think he'll have some struggles here and there with command or a funky non-arm related injury that is an issue.

ROY - too many options to even compare at this point....which is a great problem to have!

Disappointing player - one of the vet bullpen arms is going to have a bad year that winds up costing him a key late inning role, whether thats Koenig or McGill is a flip of the coin.