August Record Prediction

[wiguy94]

Here's the schedule for August, how do you all think the Brewers will do?

3 @ WSH

3 @ ATL

3 vs NYM

3 vs PIT

3 @ CIN

5 @ CHC

3 vs SF

4 vs AZ

3 @ TOR

[wiguy94]

The 18 games in 17 day stretch to end August scares me and Chourio likely being on the Il for the first half of the month also scares me.

I think I'm going 16-14.

[brooks_quichenick]

 14-16

[BlightyBrew]

12-18

[Klantz27]

20-10

[RightFieldCoder]

13-17

[ErnieRilesBrianGiles]

17-13

[long ball]

18-12. 
 

the back half of the month will be a beast, 

[Sixtolezcano]

Quote

 

13-17

[Brewin]

18-12

[Brian]

19-11 and I would be ecstatically happy in August.  Hopefully the umps will start calling a few in our favor this season. 

[Playing Catch]

15-15. I'm not sure what people have seen from the Brewers that would lead them to predict the Brewers to have a losing record in the month. I guess Chourio being out, or a general disbelief in BrewVooDoo?

[nate82]

20-9 with a rain canceled game in Cincinnati to be played September 29th.  

[Zad Fnark]

21 -9

[pitchleague]

3 @ WSH  3-0

3 @ ATL    1-2

3 vs NYM   2-1

3 vs PIT   3-0

3 @ CIN    2-1

5 @ CHC    3-2

3 vs SF    2-1

4 vs AZ    3-1

3 @ TOR.  1-2

 

20-10 is what I come up with.  That seems rather optimistic.

[MoreTrife]

Feel a big swoon coming. Big. 12-18. 

[duewizard]

15-15

[JCREW]

17-13

[HarveysWBs]

19-11; 3-2 in Chicago to clinch the season series.

[wiguy94]

With the news that Chourio's injury is more serious than they let on, I'm amending my prediction to 13-17. 

[Underachiever]

5 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

With the news that Chourio's injury is more serious than they let on, I'm amending my prediction to 13-17. 

IT WAS JUST A TICKLE!

[wiguy94]

14 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

IT WAS JUST A TICKLE!

Yeah a PRP injection is just standard procedure for a tickle in the hamstring

[sveumrules]

15 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

IT WAS JUST A TICKLE!

Best tickle in franchise history...Nyjer single into the outfield

Worst tickle in franchise history...Chourio's hammy

[Simba2020]

14-16

[sveumrules]

Going back to 2017 the Brewers have won at least 86 games every full season.

Over those seven completed full seasons, plus the first four months of this season there have been 46 months total (counting Mar/Apr and Sept/Oct as one month where applicable).

The Brewers have posted 32 winning months and four exactly .500 months during that stretch.

Their ten losing months have been...

0717 (12 W - 13 L)
0618 (12 W - 13 L)
0719 (12 W - 13 L)
0819 (12 W - 14 L)
0521 (13 W - 15 L)
0921 (14 W - 15 L)
0622 (12 W - 15 L)
0822 (12 W - 15 L)
0523 (11 W - 16 L)
0724 (11 W - 13 L)

If I counted right there are 19 predictions in the thread and four of them are for a .433 W% or lower. The Brewers have only had one month in the last 46 with a winning percentage that low.

The Brewers have had at least one losing month every season of the stretch, and so far this year they are at all four winning months so they are due for a stinker at some point especially after a blazing 33 W - 16 L (.673 W%) in June/July.

I'll hold out hope that they can mitigate that regression to some extent though and won't play too much worse than the 31 W - 28 L (.525 W%) they posted over the first two months of the season from here on out.